The Return of Thicc Kohrs
Hey,
Key Weekly Performance Stats:
- S&P 500: -1.38%
- Nasdaq 100: -1.59%
- Russel 2000: +0.28%
- Bitcoin: +4.36%
Prices went up, prices went down, and prices went all around. I hope you crushed it because I missed it all.
This coming week is likely to bring high volatility (details below), offering ample opportunities. Remember, you don’t need to overbet or chase trades. Let the setups come to you—they’ll pay off if you have the patience. Keep in mind: one trade won’t make you, but it can easily break you. Godspeed.
Best,
Thicc Kohrs
P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)
Market Events
Monday, November 4th
None
Tuesday, November 5th
09:45 AM ET S&P Global Services PMI (Oct)
10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Oct)
01:00 PM ET 10-Year Note Auction
Wednesday, November 6th
10:30 AM ET Crude Oil Inventories
01:00 PM ET 30-Year Note Auction
Thursday, November 7th
08:30 AM ET Initial Jobless Claims
02:00 PM ET Fed Interest Rate Decision
02:30 PM ET Chair Powell Press Conference
Friday, November 8th
10:00 AM ET Consumer Sentiment (Nov)
Upcoming Earnings
Seasonality Update
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, November 4th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 61.5%
- Profit Factor: 1.26
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, November 5th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 69.2%
- Profit Factor: 2.08
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, November 6th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 76.9%
- Profit Factor: 5.09
- Bias: Very Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, November 7th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 57.7%
- Profit Factor: 1.84
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, November 8th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 53.8%
- Profit Factor: 1.22
- Bias: Leaning Bullish
Equity Curve -->
Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.
Options Strategy Update
The 0 DTE signal hit 0 for 0 times (0 for 0 total units) this past week.
Signal Accuracy: ~100%
Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!
Piper's Current Signal Streak: 8 Trades
Final Two Weeks of October
No signals produced -- Honeymoon break
Times I Missed All of You Guys
1,000,000
This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.
Notes
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!
SPY missed & QQQ hit
The Trump-China-Trade announcement from the NYT knocked me out of my position. The CCS's were sold at $1.80/ea and I was forced to buy them backl at $4.40 -- This means my realized loss was $3,120 :(
The hedge did exactly what hedge plays are meant to do. It balanced me out! These PCS's were sold at $0.85/ea and expired worthless -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,975!
