Matt Kohrs
News • Business • Investing & Finance
Another Day of Nothing || Issue 19
"If you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem."
March 28, 2023
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Another Day of Nothing

We went up. We went down. We went up a little more. We went down even more. Then, to close things out, we recovered. If you're ripping out your hair, I completely understand.

Whatever hair you have left will most likely leave due to boredom from the Fed Congressional testimony. Talk about a clown show. If this is the group of people who are supposed to be protecting us, I'm more concerned than ever.

In a general sense, we saw some of the tech sector start to crack today. It was nothing too special, but I'm going to be paying close attention to major names like TSLA, NVDA & AMZN. We are clearly still in a hold pattern; patience will pay.

 


 

Market Events: Tuesday, March 29th

10:00 AM       Pending U.S. Home Sales

10:00 AM       Fed Gov. Barr Testifies To House On Banks (I'll be streaming this!!!)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (March 29th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 72%
  • Profit Factor: 9.44
  • Bias: Very Bullish

Equity Curve -->


 

Current Account Value (March 28th) +$120

$10,948

Daily Realized P&L: +$120

YTD Realized P&L: +$556

 


 

Closed Position(s) +$120

OXY $58/$57 Put Credit Spread (10) March 31st

  • Original Credit: $20
  • Closed Debit: $8
  • P&L: +$120 (+60%)

 


 

New Position(s)

SPY CALL Credit Spread (3) April 10th

  • Sold: $405 & Bought: $406 --> Credit: $21
  • Max Return: $21 & Max Risk: $79
  • Current Value: $25
  • Profit Target: ~$8
  • Profit Odds: 78%

SPY PUT Credit Spread (3) April 10th

  • Sold: $384 & Bought: $383 --> Credit: $16
  • Max Return: $16 & Max Risk: $84
  • Current Value: $14
  • Profit Target: ~$8
  • Profit Odds: 81%

Reasoning: Continuing the Iron Condor train!


 

Current Position(s)

NVDA Call Credit Spread (2) March 31st

  • Sold: $270 & Bought: $275 --> Credit: $71
  • Max Return: $71 & Max Risk: $429
  • Current Value: $104
  • Profit Target: $25
  • Profit Odds: 72%

 

QQQ Call Credit Spread (10) March 31st

  • Sold: $312 & Bought: $313 --> Credit: $0.20
  • Max Return: $20 & Max Risk: $80
  • Current Value: $22
  • Profit Target: $8
  • Profit Odds: 77%

 

TSLA Call Credit Spread (4) March 31st

  • Sold: $200 & Bought: $202.50 --> Credit: $37
  • Max Return: $37 & Max Risk: $213
  • Current Value: $27
  • Profit Target: $15
  • Profit Odds: 86%

 

JPM Put Credit Spread (5) April 6th

  • Sold: $125 & Bought: $120 --> Credit: $100
  • Max Return: $100 & Max Risk: $400
  • Current Value: $79
  • Profit Target: $40
  • Profit Odds: 71%

 

SPY Call Credit Spread (5) April 6th

  • Sold: $406 & Bought: $407 --> Credit: $12
  • Max Return: $23 & Max Risk: $77
  • Current Value: $17
  • Profit Target: $10
  • Profit Odds: 84%

 

SPY Iron Condor (3) April 6th

  • $411/$412 Call Spread --> Credit: $18
  • $386/$385 Put Spread --> Credit: $19
  • Max Return: $37 & Max Risk: $63
  • Current Value: $21
  • Profit Target: $15
  • Profit Odds: 80%

 

TSLA Call Credit Spread (5) April 6th

  • Sold: $207.50 & Bought: $210 --> Credit: $40
  • Max Return: $40 & Max Risk: $210
  • Current Value: $43
  • Profit Target: $15
  • Profit Odds: 81%

 

SPY Iron Condor (3) April 10th

  • $407/$408 Call Spread --> Credit: $23
  • $387/$386 Put Spread --> Credit: $16
  • Max Return: $39 & Max Risk: $61
  • Current Value: $38
  • Profit Target: $15
  • Profit Odds: 75%

 

SPY Iron Condor (5) April 14th

  • $411/$412 Call Spread --> Credit: $20
  • $375/$374 Put Spread --> Credit: $17
  • Max Return: $37 & Max Risk: $63
  • Current Value: $25
  • Profit Target: $15
  • Profit Odds: 86%

 

TLT Put Credit Spread (10) April 21st

  • Sold: $101 & Bought: $100 --> Credit: $27
  • Max Return: $27 & Max Risk: $73
  • Current Value: $20
  • Profit Target: $10
  • Profit Odds: 74%

 


 

My Thoughts

I'm beyond happy with my current positions. If you've been doing something similar, congrats!

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The Fall From Grace || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (October 13th - 17th)

The Fall From Grace

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: -2.43%
  • Nasdaq 100: -2.27%
  • Russel 2000: -4.14%
  • Bitcoin: -7.63%

Last week, the market started off strong, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting new highs as traders piled back into AI and chip names. But by Friday, renewed U.S.–China tariff talk erased those gains, sending the S&P down about 2.4% and the Nasdaq 2.3% for the week. Defensive sectors held up best, while tech and growth stocks took the brunt of the sell-off. It was a brutal reminder that sentiment can flip fast when markets run hot.

With the government shutdown still dragging on, many key reports, like September’s jobs data, stayed offline, leaving traders without their usual macro compass. A few releases trickled through: August trade and credit data, the Fed’s September meeting minutes, and updates on housing, industrial production, and capacity. Friday’s early read on consumer sentiment came in slightly softer, adding to the sense of drift. With little fresh data, investors leaned on earnings chatter and headlines to guide positioning.

Friday was especially rough, with markets tumbling across the board after reports surfaced that the White House was weighing new tariffs on Chinese imports and tightening restrictions on tech exports. The sell-off was broad, megacap tech led declines, Treasury yields spiked, and oil prices slid on global growth worries. The VIX jumped back above 21 for the first time in weeks, signaling a clear return of short-term volatility and risk aversion.

Looking ahead to next week, the focus shifts back to inflation and spending with September’s CPI and retail sales reports due Tuesday, followed by the Fed’s Beige Book and Thursday’s PPI and Philly Fed releases. Big bank earnings also kick off, giving markets something real to trade on again after a week dominated by nerves and noise. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Oct 13th

None

Tuesday, Oct 14th

Morning: BlackRock, Citi, Goldman Sachs, J&J, JP Morgan & Wells Fargo

Wednesday, Oct 15th

Morning: ASML, Bank of America, Dollar Tree & Morgan Stanley

Evening: United

Thursday, Oct 16th

Morning: Charles Schwab & TSMC

Evening: Interactive Brokers

Friday, Oct 17th

Morning: American Express

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Oct 13th

None

 

Tuesday, Oct 14th

12:20 PM ET    Fed Powell Speech

 

Wednesday, Oct 15th

08:30 AM ET    CPI MoM & YoY (Sep) (Maybe)

02:00 PM ET    Fed Beige Book

 

Thursday, Oct 16th

08:30 AM ET    PPI MoM & YoY (Sep) (Maybe)

08:30 AM ET    Retail Sales MoM & YoY (Sep) (Maybe)

08:30 AM ET    Phiadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims (Maybe)

 

Friday, Oct 17th

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI MoM & YoY (Sep)

08:30 AM ET    Unemployment Report (Sep) (Maybe)

08:30 AM ET    Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) (Maybe)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Oct 13th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 43%
  • Profit Factor: 1.52
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Oct 14th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61%
  • Profit Factor: 1.75
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Oct 15th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 54%
  • Profit Factor: 1.23
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Oct 16th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61%
  • Profit Factor: 2.36
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Oct 17th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 57%
  • Profit Factor: 0.66
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 4 for 4 times (10 for 10 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 5 Trade

October Record: 22/24 Units

 

Monday, Oct 6th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $669 / $668) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $605 / $604) 🟢

 

Tuesday, Oct 7th

No Signal Produced 

 

Wednesday, Oct 8th

SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $669 / $668) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $605 / $604) 🟢

 

Thursday, Oct 9th

No Signal Produced 

 

Friday, Oct 10th

No Signal Produced 

 


 

Times A Trump Tweet Ruined My Trading Account

1 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report || TGIF!
Friday, October 17th

TGIF!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

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Piper's Picks

No signal produced

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
October 16, 2025
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Daily Degen Trade Report || BEARISH!!!
Thursday, October 16th

BEARISH!!!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$23 (+100%)

A BEARISH signal, 3/5 strength, was generated around 11:55am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!

SPY Return: +$13 (+100%) per $87 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$10 (+100%) per $90 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$23 (+100%) per $177 signal capital requirement

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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