Matt Kohrs
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Hello, New Highs! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (September 23rd - September 27th)
September 22, 2024
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Hello, New Highs!

Howdy,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +1.11% 
  • Nasdaq 100: +1.49% 
  • Russel 2000: +2.19%
  • Bitcoin: +4.41%
Last week, the economy and stock market experienced a mix of movements influenced by several pivotal economic indicators and events. The Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by 50 basis points was the major highlight, marking the beginning of a rate cut cycle. This move, alongside retail sales figures for August, provided a complex picture of consumer spending health versus inflation management, influencing market sentiment. 
 
In terms of stock market performance, the week started with a mixed bag. The Dow and S&P 500 saw gains, while the NASDAQ lagged due to tech stock drops. This divergence was partly driven by economic data releases like industrial production and capacity utilization rates. Additionally, the Fed's rate decision and its implications on future monetary policy contributed to a volatile, yet cautiously optimistic market environment.
 
Looking ahead to next week, traders should closely monitor for a reversal from last week's Fed rate cut. Given the recent volatility, attention to how quickly markets absorb new economic data, alongside any corporate earnings surprises, will be crucial for riding any short-term trends. Respect your risk and stick to your plan. Godspeed.
 

Warm Regards,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Market Events

Monday, September 23rd

08:00 AM ET    Atlanta Fed President Bostic Speaks

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global PMI (Sep)

10:15 AM ET    Chicago Fed President Goolsbee Speaks

01:00 PM ET    Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Speaks

 

Tuesday, September 24th

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Confidence (Sept)

01:00 PM ET    2-Year Note Auction

 

Wednesday, September 25th

10:00 AM ET    New Home Sales (Aug)

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

01:00 PM ET    5-Year Note Auction

 

Thursday, September 26th

08:30 AM ET    GDP Second Revision (Q2)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

08:30 AM ET    Durable Goods Orders (Aug)

09:15 AM ET    Various Fed Members Speak

10:00 AM ET    Pending Home Sales (Aug)

01:00 PM ET    7-Year Note Auction

 

Friday, September 27th

08:30 AM ET    PCE Price Index  (Aug)

08:30 AM ET    Personal Spending & Income (Aug)

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment (Sept)

01:15 PM ET    Federal Reserve Governor Bowman Speaks

 


 

Upcoming Earnings

Monday, September 23rd

None

Tuesday, September 24th

Morning: AutoZone

Wednesday, September 25th

Evening: Micron

Thursday, September 26th

Morning: Accenture

Evening: BlackBerry & Costco

Friday, September 27th

None

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, September 23rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 36%
  • Profit Factor: 0.66
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, September 24th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 32%
  • Profit Factor: 0.43
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, September 25th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 44%
  • Profit Factor: 0.89
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, September 25th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 62%
  • Profit Factor: 1.83
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, September 26th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 54%
  • Profit Factor: 1.08
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 5 for 6 times (10 for 12 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~83%

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 3 Trades

September Record: 39/48 Units

 

Monday, September 16th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $563 / $564)  🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $474 / $475)  🟢

 

Tuesday, September 17th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $564 / $563)  🔴

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $473 / $472)  🟢

 

Wednesday, September 18th

No signal produced (FOMC meeting)

 

Thursday, September 19th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $568 / $567)  🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $480 / $479)  🟢

 

Friday, September 20th

No signal produced (Quadruple witching)

 


 

Count of Times Powell Murdered My Account

420,069 *

This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report || TGIF!
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TGIF!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$44 (+100%)

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QQQ Return: +$22 (+100%) per $178 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$44 (+100%) per $356 signal capital requirement

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report || Join The Goonies Today!!!
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The Calm Before the Storm

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$30 (+100%)

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:55am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$10 (+100%) per $190 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$20 (+100%) per $180 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$30 (+100%) per $370 signal capital requirement

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$28 (+100%)

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:00am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$28 (+100%) per $372 signal capital requirement

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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