Matt Kohrs
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Here Comes October! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (Sept. 30th - Oct. 4th)
September 29, 2024
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Here Comes October!

Brothers,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +0.57% (New High Achieved)
  • Nasdaq 100: +0.89% 
  • Russel 2000: -0.56%
  • Bitcoin: +4.08%

The stock market experienced a solid bullish trend, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq all closing higher, marking new record highs. This uptick was driven by several factors including the announcement of major stimulus in China. Economic data during this period showed mixed signals. Manufacturing PMI indicated softness, though it wasn't significant enough to cause major growth concerns. The major macroeconomic highlights were the cooler-than-expected inflation report and the beat on consumer sentiment. Both of these positive updates added fuel to the bullish rocket.

The week was also highlighted by dovish comments from Federal Reserve members, suggesting a potentially more relaxed monetary policy stance. However, we also saw a cautious approach towards the market's valuation, with some analysts suggesting that despite the current highs, the market might be overvalued in certain sectors. This caution was juxtaposed with strategic investments into sectors like utilities, indicating a pivot towards more defensive or value-oriented positions amid expectations of a slowdown or at least a recalibration of growth expectations.
 
Looking ahead to the following week, we were poised to react to several key economic releases. These include various ISM updates, JOLTs job openings, and perhaps most critically, the unemployment report. Additionally, earnings reports from major companies like Nike are expected, potentially providing insights into consumer spending trends. Fed Chair Powell's speech was also a focal point, expected to offer more clarity on the Federal Reserve's future rate decisions, directly impacting market sentiment. As always, stick to your plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Peace,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Market Events

Monday, September 30th

09:45 AM ET    Chicago PMI (Sep)

 

Tuesday, October 1st

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI (Sep)

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Sep)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Sep)

10:00 AM ET    JOLTs Job Openings (Aug)

 

Wednesday, October 2nd

08:15 AM ET    ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep)

 

Thursday, October 3rd

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

08:30 AM ET    S&P Global Services PMI (Sep)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Sep)

 

Friday, October 4th

08:30 AM ET    Unemployment Rate (Sep)

08:30 AM ET    Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep)

08:30 AM ET    Avg. Hourly Earnings (Sep)

 


 

Upcoming Earnings

Monday, September 30th

Morning: Carnival 

Tuesday, October 1st

Evening: Nike 

Wednesday, October 2nd

Evening: Levi's 

Thursday, October 3rd

None

Friday, October 4th

None

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, September 30th)

  • Bull Win Percentage:  37.5%
  • Profit Factor: 0.25
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, October 1st)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61.5%
  • Profit Factor: 1.78
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, October 2nd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46.2%
  • Profit Factor: 0.82
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, October 3rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 73.1%
  • Profit Factor: 4.25
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, October 4th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 69.2%
  • Profit Factor: 1.08
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 6 for 8 times (12 for 14 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~75%

 

This wasn't Piper's best week, but she was still green. Onto the next one!

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 4 Trades

September Record: 51/62 Units

 

Monday, September 30th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $568 / $567)  🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $481 / $480)  🟢

 

Tuesday, September 24th

SPY Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $571 / $572) 🔴

QQQ Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $485 / $486) 🔴

 

Wednesday, September 25th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $569 / $568)  🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $484 / $483)  🟢

 

Thursday, September 26th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $575 / $576) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $494 / $495) 🟢

 

Friday, September 27th

No Signal Produced

 


 

Solid Trading Days These Past Week

 0 -- My trading was straight garbage *

This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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DMing me on Discord would be the most efficient (@mmk147) or you could email me at: [email protected]

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Markets Chop, Chop, Chop! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (October 20th - 24th)

Markets Chop, Chop, Chop!

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +1.70%
  • Nasdaq 100: +2.46%
  • Russel 2000: +3.71%
  • Bitcoin: -5.77%

Last week, the stock market posted a modest recovery, with major indexes bouncing after tariff-spooked declines and banking jitters. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both gained ground, led by strength in tech and small-cap segments as investors brushed aside a thin data calendar and leaned into hopes for a smoother trade outlook. The fact that markets remained open on Monday despite the federal holiday helped keep trading normal, though volumes were lighter than usual.

On the economic and policy front the story was mostly about what wasn’t published. The ongoing federal government shutdown held back key releases such as the consumer-price index, retail sales and other big data points, leaving markets with just the anecdotal commentary and earnings cues. Market participants therefore leaned heavier on corporate results and central-bank commentary, with the Federal Reserve’s remarks and shutdown-related risks coming into sharper focus. Against this backdrop, rate-cut expectations remained alive but muted, since policymakers lack fresh hard numbers to act on.

Earnings season picked up extra significance in this environment. With the macro calendar essentially blank, company reports (especially from banks, tech names and industrials) became the centrepiece of investor attention. Those businesses that indicated stable demand, manageable input costs or successful cost discipline received a boost, while firms more cautious or conflicted drew sharper sell-offs. Overall the market held its ground and nudged higher despite elevated uncertainty and thinner than normal participation.

Looking ahead to next week, there are more tangible data releases. The Leading Economic Index will be released early in the week, followed by existing-home sales mid-week and the much-anticipated rescheduled September CPI data on Friday. These publications should give markets the firmer footing they’ve lacked and may force a more decisive move on the Fed’s policy path. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Oct 20th

Evening: Zions

Tuesday, Oct 21st

Morning: Cocal Cola, GE Aerospace, GM & Lockheed Martin

Evening: Capital One & Netflix

Wednesday, Oct 22nd

Morning: AT&T

Evening: IBM, Lam Research & Tesla

Thursday, Oct 23rd

Morning: American Airlines & Southwest

Evening: Intel

Friday, Oct 24th

Morning: P&G

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Oct 20th

10:00 AM ET    US Leading Economic Indicators

 

Tuesday, Oct 21st

None

 

Wednesday, Oct 22nd

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

 

Thursday, Oct 23rd

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

10:00 AM ET    Existing Home Sales (Sep)

 

Friday, Oct 24th

08:30 AM ET    CPI MoM & YoY (Sep)

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Oct)

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment

10:00 AM ET    New Home Sales (Sep)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Oct 20th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 50%
  • Profit Factor: 1.22
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Oct 21st)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 57%
  • Profit Factor: 1.27
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Oct 22nd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 57%
  • Profit Factor: 1.60
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Oct 23rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 43%
  • Profit Factor: 1.07
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Oct 24th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 36%
  • Profit Factor: 0.20
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 6 for 6 times (10 for 10 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 11 Trade

October Record: 32/34 Units

 

Monday, Oct 13th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $659 / $658) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $597 / $596) 🟢

 

Tuesday, Oct 14th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $653 / $652) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $590 / $589) 🟢

 

Wednesday, Oct 15th

No Signal Produced

 

Thursday, Oct 16th

SPY Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $669 / $670) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $609 / $610) 🟢

 

Friday, Oct 17th

No Signal Produced

 


 

Count of Market Whipsaw

86,472 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Tricky Tuesday!
Tuesday, October 21st

Tricky Tuesday!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$38 (+100%)

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:15am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$24 (+100%) per $176 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$38 (+100%) per $362 signal capital requirement

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
October 20, 2025
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Happy Monday!
Monday, October 20th

Happy Monday!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

No signal produced

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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