Matt Kohrs
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Happy Uptober! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (October 7th - 11th)
October 06, 2024
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Happy Uptober!

Howdy,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +0.26% 
  • Nasdaq 100: +0.12% 
  • Russel 2000: -0.54%
  • Bitcoin: -5.62%
Buckle up, folks! Uptober is here!!! We have lots to chat about. For those of you who may have missed it, the first week of the new month had a lot of developments. Early in the week, attention was focused on the ISM Manufacturing PMI, which signaled a slowdown in manufacturing activity. At midweek, labor market data pointed to mixed results, with employment figures improving slightly but wages remaining stagnant. The end of the week saw heightened anticipation around the release of the NFP and Unemployment Rate reports. The payroll report revealed that 254,000 jobs were added in September, way higher than expectations, while the unemployment rate slightly dropped to 4.1%, calming concerns about a worsening labor market. 
 
Looking ahead to next week, there are several key events that we worth your attention. The CPI for September will be a crucial indicator of inflation trends, likely influencing expectations around future Fed rate cuts. Additionally, upcoming Federal Reserve speeches could provide further insight into the central bank's stance on monetary policy, especially with ongoing speculation about additional rate cuts. We should also monitor corporate earnings reports (the new season is about to be underway) and developments in the energy sector, as oil prices remain elevated. As always, stick to your plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.
 

Warm Regards,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Market Events

Monday, October 7th

01:00 PM ET    Fed Governor Bowman Speaks

03:00 PM ET    Consumer Credit (Sep)

 

Tuesday, October 8th

12:45 PM ET    Atlanta Fed President Bostic Speaks

01:00 PM ET    3 -Year Note Auction

 

Wednesday, October 9th

09:15 AM ET    Dallas Fed President Logan Speaks

12:30 PM ET    Fed Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson Speaks

01:00 PM ET    10-Year Note Auction

01:00 PM ET    FOMC Meeting Minutes

06:00 PM ET    San Francisco Fed President Daly Speaks

 

Thursday, October 10th

08:30 AM ET    CPI (MoM & YoY) (Sep)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

09:15 AM ET    Fed Reserve Governor Cook Speaks

10:30 AM ET    Richmond Fed President Barkin Speaks

11:00 AM ET    New York Fed President Williams Speaks

01:00 PM ET    30-Year Bond Auction

 

Friday, October 11th

08:30 AM ET    PPI (MoM & YoY) (Sep)

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment (Oct)

10:45 AM ET    Dallas Fed President Logan Speaks

01:10 PM ET    Fed Governor Bowman Speaks

 


 

Upcoming Earnings

Monday, October 7th

None

Tuesday, October 8th

Morning: PepsiCo

Wednesday, October 9th

None

Thursday, October 10th

Morning: Delta, Domino's Pizza & Tilray

Friday, October 11th

Morning: BlackRock, BNY, JPMorgan & Wells Fargo

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, October 7th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 38.5%
  • Profit Factor: 0.62
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, October 8th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 42.3%
  • Profit Factor: 1.00
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, October 9th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46.2%
  • Profit Factor: 0.42
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, October 10th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46.2%
  • Profit Factor: 0.87
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, October 11th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 42.3%
  • Profit Factor: 1.66
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 9 for 10 times (18 for 20 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~90%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 9 Trades

September Record: 53/66 Units

October Record: 16/16 Units

 

Monday, September 30th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $573 / $574)  🔴

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $488 / $489)  🟢

 

Tuesday, October 1st

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $565 / $564)  🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $477 / $476)  🟢

 

Wednesday, October 2nd

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $565 / $564)  🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $477 / $476)  🟢

 

Thursday, October 3rd

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $565 / $564)  🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $479 / $478)  🟢

 

Friday, October 4th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $573 / $574)  🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $488 / $489)  🟢

 


 

Times Piper Assaulted Me

 1.3 *

This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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FREE Options Trading Lecture This Friday @ 10am ET

It's all going down THIS FRIDAY!!!

The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
All you need to do is be where you normally watch me at 10am ET!

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Down We Go || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (March 23rd - 27th)

Down We Go

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: -1.90
  • Nasdaq 100: -1.98% 
  • Russel 2000: -0.96%
  • Bitcoin: -0.63%
  • Gold: -10.57% 
  • Silver: -15.92%

Stocks tried to bounce early in the week, but that momentum didn’t last long. The big focus was Wednesday’s Fed decision, where rates were left unchanged and the outlook still leaned toward higher for longer. At the same time, the data didn’t give much relief. Job openings held steady, but February producer prices came in hotter than expected, keeping inflation concerns front and center.

By the back half of the week, sellers were back in control. Jobless claims stayed relatively low, but growth signals were mixed, with a soft Leading Economic Index and weaker housing data not helping sentiment. Add in sticky labor cost pressures and rising oil, and the market faded into Friday. For the week, the S&P 500 dropped 1.9%, the Dow fell 2.1%, and the Nasdaq slid 2.1%, with a clean five-day trading week and no holidays.

Looking ahead to next week, the calendar is lighter but still has a few key reads. Tuesday brings revised productivity and the flash PMIs, which should give a quick pulse check on business activity. Wednesday follows with import and export prices along with the latest international transactions data. Outside of that, it’s a relatively quiet setup, and markets will be open all week. As always, respect your risk and stick to your trading plan. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Mar 23rd

None

Tuesday, Mar 24th

None

Wednesday, Mar 25th

Morning: Chewy

Evening: Beyond Meat

Thursday, Mar 26th

None

Friday, Mar 27th

Morning: Carnival

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Mar 23rd

None

 

Tuesday, Mar 24th

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Mar)

 

Wednesday, Mar 25th

None

 

Thursday, Mar 26th

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

 

Friday, Mar 27th

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment (Mar)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Mar 23rd)

    • Bull Win Percentage: 36%
    • Profit Factor: 1.05
    • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Mar 24th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61%
  • Profit Factor: 2.27
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Mar 25th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 50%
  • Profit Factor: 0.90
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Mar 26th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61%
  • Profit Factor: 5.94
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Mar 27th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 43%
  • Profit Factor: 0.51
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 4 for 4 times (6 for 6 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 12 Trades

March Record: 28/32 Units

 

Monday, Mar 16th

SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $667 / $666) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $599 / $598) 🟢

 

Tuesday, Mar 17th

No Signal Produced

 

Wednesday, Mar 18th

No Signal Produced (FOMC Day)

 

Thursday, Mar 19th

No Signal Produced

 

Friday, Mar 20th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $657 / $658) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $592 / $593) 🟢

 


 

Computer Crashes

3 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$5,400) || Happy Monday!
Monday, March 23rd

Happy Monday!

THICC RETURN: +$5,400

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID -- Today's trades would have paid for MORE THAN FIVE ENTIRE YEARS OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$76

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 10:05am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed. Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$36 (+100%) per $164 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$40 (+100%) per $160 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$76 (+100%) per $324 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 20 SPX 6,590/6,580 Put Credit SpreadsThese PCS's were sold at $2.20/ea and were bought back at $0.40/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $3,600!!!

 

Trade Two: 20 SPX 6,565/6,555 Put Credit SpreadsThese PCS's were sold at $1.00/ea and were bought back at $0.10/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,800!!!

 

Trade One Return: +$3,600

Trade Two Return: +$1,800

Total Return: +$5,400 (before fees)

 

These trades alone would have paid for MORE THAN FIVE ENTIRE YEARS OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$1,200) || TGIF!!!
Friday, March 20th

TGIF!!!

THICC RETURN: +$1,200

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID -- Today's trades would have paid for MORE THAN AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$42

A BEARISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:00am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed. Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$24 (+100%) per $176 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$18 (+100%) per $182 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$42 (+100%) per $358 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 20 SPX 6,605/6,615 Call Credit SpreadsThese CCS's were sold at $0.80/ea and were bought back at $0.20/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,200!!!

 

Trade One Return: +$1,200

Total Return: +$1,200 (before fees)

 

These trades alone would have paid for MORE THAN AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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