Matt Kohrs
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The Dawn of A New Era || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (January 20th - 24th)
January 19, 2025
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The Dawn of A New Era

Hey,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +2.94% 
  • Nasdaq 100: +3.09% 
  • Russel 2000: +4.66%
  • Bitcoin: +9.93%
Last week, stocks had a nice pump higher. This upward movement was largely attributed to inflation data that, while still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, was not as "hot" (severe) as anticipated. The PPI, CPI, and Retail Sales all came in lower than expected.
 
In the broader economy, the IMF raised its 2025 growth forecast for the U.S. to 2.7%, citing potential impacts from President-elect Donald Trump's proposed policies, including higher tariffs, tax reductions, and immigration restrictions. The IMF cautioned that these measures could stimulate demand while constraining supply, potentially leading to increased inflation and limiting the Federal Reserve's capacity to reduce interest rates.
 
Looking ahead, we have much to pay attention to. On Monday, January 20, President-elect Donald Trump will be inaugurated. Additionally, the stock & bond markets will be closed in observation of  Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Later in the week, significant economic reports are expected, including the U.S. leading economic indicators on Wednesday, initial jobless claims on Thursday, and existing home sales data on Friday. Don't forget we are also now in earnings season.
 
As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, January 20th

None

Tuesday, January 21st

Evening: Capital One, Interactive Brokers, Netflix & United

Wednesday, January 22nd

Morning: J&J + P&G

Evening: Discover

Thursday, January 23rd

Morning: American Airlines

Friday, January 24th

Morning: American Express & Verizon

 


 

Market Events

Monday, January 20th

ALL DAY          Market Closed (MLK Day)

 

Tuesday, January 21st

None

 

Wednesday, January 22nd

10:00 AM ET    US Leading Economic Indicators (Dec)

01:00 PM ET    20-Year Bond Auction

 

Thursday, January 23rd

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

01:00 PM ET    10-Year TIPS Auction

 

Friday, January 24th

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Jan)

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment (Jan)

10:00 AM ET    Existing Home Sales (Dec)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, January 20th)

  • MARKET CLOSED ALL DAY (MLK Day)

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, January 21st)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 48%
  • Profit Factor: 0.80
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, January 22d)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 52%
  • Profit Factor: 1.14
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, January 23rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 41%
  • Profit Factor: 0.87
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, January 24th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 59%
  • Profit Factor: 1.43
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 6 for 8 times (10 for 14 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~75%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 3 Trades

January Record: 24/26 Units

 

Monday, January 13th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $580 / $581) 🔴

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $505 / $506) 🔴

 

Tuesday, January 14th

SPY Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $586 / $587) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $511 / $512) 🟢

 

Wednesday, January 15th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $589 / $588) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $511 / $510) 🟢

 

Thursday, January 16th

No Signal Produced 

 

Friday, January 17th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $595 / $594) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $518 / $517) 🟢

 


 

Days of Dry January Survived

19 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$30 (+100%)

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:55am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

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QQQ Return: +$20 (+100%) per $180 signal capital requirement

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You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

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A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:00am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

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QQQ Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

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You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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