New President, New Highs
Hey,
Key Weekly Performance Stats:
- S&P 500: +1.74% (New High)
- Nasdaq 100: +1.30%
- Russel 2000: +0.78%
- Bitcoin: +0.71%
Last week, stocks pushed higher and higher. The S&P 500 rose 1.7% achieving its first record close of 2025. Markets are optimistic that the Trump administration will implement deregulation and support dealmaking. Additionally, an executive order on digital assets is boosting the cryptocurrency market.
Economic data released during this period was mixed. The U.S. housing market showed strength, but a survey indicated slowing business activity, even as firms increased hiring. Consumer sentiment also dropped to below previous estimates. Despite these mixed signals, markets are betting that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meeting.
Looking ahead, there are many reports and updates you should be monitoring. The Federal Reserve's policy meeting (Jan. 29th) is anticipated to provide insights into future interest rate decisions. The release of the PCE report and Personal Income & Spending data on January 31st will offer further indications of economic health. You should also be attentive to any new policy announcements from the Trump administration, especially regarding tariffs and deregulation efforts, as these could significantly impact various sectors. As always, stick to your plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.
Best,
Thicc Kohrs
P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)
Earnings
Monday, January 27th
Morning: SoFi
Tuesday, January 28th
Morning: Boeing & Lockheed Martin
Evening: Starbucks
Wednesday, January 29th
Morning: ASML
Evening: IBM, Meta, Microsoft & Telsa
Thursday, January 30th
Morning: Caterpillar, Mastercard & UPS
Evening: Apple, Intel & Visa
Friday, January 31st
Morning: Chevron, Exxon Mobile & Phillips 66
Market Events
Monday, January 27th
08:30 AM ET Initial Jobless Claims
10:00 AM ET New Home Sales (Dec)
Tuesday, January 28th
08:30 AM ET Durable Goods (Jan)
10:00 AM ET Consumer Confidence (Jan)
Wednesday, January 29th
02:00 PM ET Fed Interest Rate Decision
02:30 PM ET Fed Chair Powell Speech
Thursday, January 30th
08:15 AM ET ECB Interest Rate Decision
08:30 AM ET GDP (Q4)
08:30 AM ET Initial Jobless Claims
10:00 AM ET Pending Home Sales (Dec)
Friday, January 31st
08:30 AM ET PCE MoM & YoY (Dec)
08:30 AM ET Personal Income & Spending (Dec)
09:45 AM ET Chicago PMI (Jan)
Seasonality Update
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, January 27th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 63%
- Profit Factor: 1.00
- Bias: Neutral
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, January 28th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 52%
- Profit Factor: 0.68
- Bias: Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, January 29th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 59%
- Profit Factor: 1.87
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, January 30th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 41%
- Profit Factor: 0.78
- Bias: Leaning Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, January 31st)
- Bull Win Percentage: 59%
- Profit Factor: 2.73
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.
Options Strategy Update
The 0 DTE signal hit 7 for 8 times (16 for 18 total units) this past week.
Signal Accuracy: ~87.5%
Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!
Piper's Current Signal Streak: 1 Trades
January Record: 40/44 Units
Monday, January 20th
No signal -- Market closed
Tuesday, January 21st
SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $598 / $597) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $520 / $519) 🟢
Wednesday, January 22nd
SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $605 / $604) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $529 / $528) 🟢
Thursday, January 23rd
SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $605 / $604) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $528 / $527) 🟢
Friday, January 24th
SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $608 / $607) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $530 / $529) 🔴
Days of Dry January Survived
26 *
* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.
Notes
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!
SPY missed & QQQ hit
The Trump-China-Trade announcement from the NYT knocked me out of my position. The CCS's were sold at $1.80/ea and I was forced to buy them backl at $4.40 -- This means my realized loss was $3,120 :(
The hedge did exactly what hedge plays are meant to do. It balanced me out! These PCS's were sold at $0.85/ea and expired worthless -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,975!
