Matt Kohrs
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Bulls Dominate The Day || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (July 14th - July 18th)
July 13, 2025
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Bulls Dominate The Day

Hey,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: -0.31%
  • Nasdaq 100: -0.38% 
  • Russel 2000: +0.55%
  • Bitcoin: +8.84%
Last week, markets were choppy as escalating trade tensions under President Trump weighed on sentiment. On July 7, fresh tariff threats triggered a broad sell-off, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.8%, the Dow falling 0.9%, and the Nasdaq slipping 0.9%. Midweek brought a brief rebound—on July 9, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new record highs. The tech sector showed specific strength. The S&P closed up 0.27%, but those gains didn’t hold. By Friday, the S&P ended the week down 0.38% as Trump floated a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, which rattled international markets and manufacturing stocks.
 
On the economic front, mixed signals and policy uncertainty dominated. June saw a federal budget surplus, partly thanks to higher tariff revenues, while consumer credit rose, suggesting modest 0.5% spending growth despite cooling inflation. Fed minutes showed ongoing debate around rate paths, and small business optimism ticked up slightly. However, global concerns—like softening inflation in China and fears of broader trade slowdowns—kept traders on edge.
 
Looking ahead, all eyes turn to Q2 earnings season and a packed economic calendar. June’s CPI and core CPI reports (out July 15) will be key for inflation trends and Fed policy expectations. Retail sales and industrial production numbers are also on deck. While markets may stay volatile due to trade headlines, solid U.S. GDP growth around 3% could help buoy stocks—if inflation continues to ease. Still, tariff risks remain a wild card. As always, respect your risk and stick to your trading plan. Godspeed.
 
Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

MondayJuly 14th

None

TuesdayJuly 15th

Morning: BlackRock, Citi & JPMorgan

Wednesday, July 16th

Morning: ASML, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, J&J, Morgan Stanley & PNC

Evening: United

ThursdayJuly 17th

Morning: Pepsi & TSMC

Evening: Netflix

FridayJuly 18th

Morning: American Express, Charles Schwab & SLB

 


 

Market Events

Monday, July 14th

None Scheduled 

 

Tuesday, July 15th

08:30 AM ET    CPI MoM & YoY (June)

02:00 PM ET    Fed Beige Book

 

Wednesday, July 16th

08:30 AM ET    PPI MoM & YoY (June)

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

 

Thursday, July 17th

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI MoM & YoY (June)

08:30 AM ET    Retail Sales MoM & YoY (June)

08:30 AM ET    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (July)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

 

Friday, July 18th

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, July 14th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 70%
  • Profit Factor: 4.49
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, July 15th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 44%
  • Profit Factor: 2.09
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, July 16th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 44%
  • Profit Factor: 0.73
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, July 17th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 59%
  • Profit Factor: 1.03
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, July 18th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 70%
  • Profit Factor: 1.69
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 8 times (14 for 14 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 11 Trades

July Record: 21/22 Units

 

Monday, June 7th

No Signal Produced

 

Tuesday, July 8th

SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $618 / $617) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $550 / $549) 🟢

 

Wednesday, July 9th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $619 / $618) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $552 / $551) 🟢

 

Thursday, July 10th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $622 / $621) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $551 / $550) 🟢

 

Friday, July 11th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $621 / $620) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $551 / $550) 🟢

 


 

Times I Crashed Out on Stream

19 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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It's all going down THIS FRIDAY!!!

The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
All you need to do is be where you normally watch me at 10am ET!

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Goodbye February, Hello March || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (March 2nd - 6th)

Goodbye February, Hello March

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: -0.44
  • Nasdaq 100: -0.21% 
  • Russel 2000: -1.33%
  • Bitcoin: -3.12%
  • Gold: +3.24% 
  • Silver: +10.75%

Last week, stocks were choppy with traders bouncing between AI optimism and renewed inflation nerves. By Friday, sellers were in control. The Dow dropped about 1.3% on the week, the Nasdaq fell roughly 1%, and the S&P 500 slipped around 0.4%. A hotter inflation read late in the week didn’t help, and you could feel positioning getting a little more cautious into the close.

The economic calendar wasn’t packed, but it packed a punch. Consumer confidence from the Conference Board improved slightly, showing households aren’t rolling over just yet. The bigger story came Friday with January PPI, which ran hotter than expected and reminded everyone that inflation is still sticky. A few other delayed data releases reinforced the same theme: growth is holding up, but price pressures are not fading as quickly as the market would like.

Looking ahead to next week, it's much more straightforward and potentially more market-moving. Monday brings ISM Manufacturing along with the final S&P Global manufacturing PMI. Midweek we get ISM Services and the final S&P services read. Thursday includes Productivity and Import and Export Prices. Then Friday is the main event with the February jobs report. No NYSE holidays, just a full week of trading and plenty of chances for volatility if the data surprises. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Mar 2nd

Morning: Berkshire Hathaway & Norwegian Cruise Line

Evening: Riot

Tuesday, Mar 3rd

Morning: Best Buy & Target

Evening: CrowdStrike & GitLab

Wednesday, Mar 4th

Morning: Abercrombie

Evening: Broadcom, Rigetti & WeBull

Thursday, Mar 5th

Morning: Kroger

Evening: Costco

Friday, Mar 6th

None

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Mar 2nd

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Feb)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Feb)

 

Tuesday, Mar 3rd

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI MoM & YoY (Feb)

 

Wednesday, Mar 4th

08:15 AM ET    ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Feb)

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Services PMI (Feb)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Feb)

 

Thursday, Mar 5th

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

 

Friday, Mar 6th

08:30 AM ET    Unemployment Rate (Feb)

08:30 AM ET    Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Mar 2nd)

    • Bull Win Percentage: 68%
    • Profit Factor: 1.71
    • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Mar 3rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 39%
  • Profit Factor: 0.58
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Mar 4th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 68%
  • Profit Factor: 2.38
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Mar 5th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46%
  • Profit Factor: 0.30
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Mar 6th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 54%
  • Profit Factor: 0.71
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 10 for 10 times (20 for 20 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 24 Trades

February Record: 70/74 Units

 

Monday, Feb 23rd

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $690 / $691) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $608 / $609) 🟢

 

TuesdayFeb 24th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $680 / $679) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $599 / $598) 🟢

 

Wednesday, Feb 25th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $689 / $688) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $611 / $610) 🟢

 

Thursday, Feb 26th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $694 / $695) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $616 / $17) 🟢

 

Friday, Feb 27th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $681 / $680) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $602 / $601) 🟢

 


 

Times Yelled At Me About My Lighting

 11 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Hello From Toronto!
Thursday, March 5th

Hello From Toronto!

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

No Signal Produced

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

No Trades Taken

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$1,200) || Buying The Dip!
Wednesday, March 4th

Buying The Dip!

THICC RETURN: +$1,200

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID -- Today's trades would have paid for MORE THAN AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$26

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 10:30Am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed. Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$12 (+100%) per $188 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$26 (+100%) per $374 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 20 SPX 6,810/6,800 Put Credit SpreadsThese PCS's were sold at $0.70/ea and were bought back at $0.10/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,200!

 

Trade One Return: +$1,200

Total Return: +$1,200 (before fees)

 

These trades alone would have paid for MORE THAN AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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