Matt Kohrs
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Bulls Dominate The Day || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (July 14th - July 18th)
July 13, 2025
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Bulls Dominate The Day

Hey,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: -0.31%
  • Nasdaq 100: -0.38% 
  • Russel 2000: +0.55%
  • Bitcoin: +8.84%
Last week, markets were choppy as escalating trade tensions under President Trump weighed on sentiment. On July 7, fresh tariff threats triggered a broad sell-off, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.8%, the Dow falling 0.9%, and the Nasdaq slipping 0.9%. Midweek brought a brief rebound—on July 9, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new record highs. The tech sector showed specific strength. The S&P closed up 0.27%, but those gains didn’t hold. By Friday, the S&P ended the week down 0.38% as Trump floated a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, which rattled international markets and manufacturing stocks.
 
On the economic front, mixed signals and policy uncertainty dominated. June saw a federal budget surplus, partly thanks to higher tariff revenues, while consumer credit rose, suggesting modest 0.5% spending growth despite cooling inflation. Fed minutes showed ongoing debate around rate paths, and small business optimism ticked up slightly. However, global concerns—like softening inflation in China and fears of broader trade slowdowns—kept traders on edge.
 
Looking ahead, all eyes turn to Q2 earnings season and a packed economic calendar. June’s CPI and core CPI reports (out July 15) will be key for inflation trends and Fed policy expectations. Retail sales and industrial production numbers are also on deck. While markets may stay volatile due to trade headlines, solid U.S. GDP growth around 3% could help buoy stocks—if inflation continues to ease. Still, tariff risks remain a wild card. As always, respect your risk and stick to your trading plan. Godspeed.
 
Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

MondayJuly 14th

None

TuesdayJuly 15th

Morning: BlackRock, Citi & JPMorgan

Wednesday, July 16th

Morning: ASML, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, J&J, Morgan Stanley & PNC

Evening: United

ThursdayJuly 17th

Morning: Pepsi & TSMC

Evening: Netflix

FridayJuly 18th

Morning: American Express, Charles Schwab & SLB

 


 

Market Events

Monday, July 14th

None Scheduled 

 

Tuesday, July 15th

08:30 AM ET    CPI MoM & YoY (June)

02:00 PM ET    Fed Beige Book

 

Wednesday, July 16th

08:30 AM ET    PPI MoM & YoY (June)

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

 

Thursday, July 17th

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI MoM & YoY (June)

08:30 AM ET    Retail Sales MoM & YoY (June)

08:30 AM ET    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (July)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

 

Friday, July 18th

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, July 14th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 70%
  • Profit Factor: 4.49
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, July 15th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 44%
  • Profit Factor: 2.09
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, July 16th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 44%
  • Profit Factor: 0.73
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, July 17th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 59%
  • Profit Factor: 1.03
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, July 18th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 70%
  • Profit Factor: 1.69
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 8 times (14 for 14 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 11 Trades

July Record: 21/22 Units

 

Monday, June 7th

No Signal Produced

 

Tuesday, July 8th

SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $618 / $617) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $550 / $549) 🟢

 

Wednesday, July 9th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $619 / $618) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $552 / $551) 🟢

 

Thursday, July 10th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $622 / $621) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $551 / $550) 🟢

 

Friday, July 11th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $621 / $620) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $551 / $550) 🟢

 


 

Times I Crashed Out on Stream

19 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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The Fall From Grace

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: -2.43%
  • Nasdaq 100: -2.27%
  • Russel 2000: -4.14%
  • Bitcoin: -7.63%

Last week, the market started off strong, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting new highs as traders piled back into AI and chip names. But by Friday, renewed U.S.–China tariff talk erased those gains, sending the S&P down about 2.4% and the Nasdaq 2.3% for the week. Defensive sectors held up best, while tech and growth stocks took the brunt of the sell-off. It was a brutal reminder that sentiment can flip fast when markets run hot.

With the government shutdown still dragging on, many key reports, like September’s jobs data, stayed offline, leaving traders without their usual macro compass. A few releases trickled through: August trade and credit data, the Fed’s September meeting minutes, and updates on housing, industrial production, and capacity. Friday’s early read on consumer sentiment came in slightly softer, adding to the sense of drift. With little fresh data, investors leaned on earnings chatter and headlines to guide positioning.

Friday was especially rough, with markets tumbling across the board after reports surfaced that the White House was weighing new tariffs on Chinese imports and tightening restrictions on tech exports. The sell-off was broad, megacap tech led declines, Treasury yields spiked, and oil prices slid on global growth worries. The VIX jumped back above 21 for the first time in weeks, signaling a clear return of short-term volatility and risk aversion.

Looking ahead to next week, the focus shifts back to inflation and spending with September’s CPI and retail sales reports due Tuesday, followed by the Fed’s Beige Book and Thursday’s PPI and Philly Fed releases. Big bank earnings also kick off, giving markets something real to trade on again after a week dominated by nerves and noise. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Oct 13th

None

Tuesday, Oct 14th

Morning: BlackRock, Citi, Goldman Sachs, J&J, JP Morgan & Wells Fargo

Wednesday, Oct 15th

Morning: ASML, Bank of America, Dollar Tree & Morgan Stanley

Evening: United

Thursday, Oct 16th

Morning: Charles Schwab & TSMC

Evening: Interactive Brokers

Friday, Oct 17th

Morning: American Express

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Oct 13th

None

 

Tuesday, Oct 14th

12:20 PM ET    Fed Powell Speech

 

Wednesday, Oct 15th

08:30 AM ET    CPI MoM & YoY (Sep) (Maybe)

02:00 PM ET    Fed Beige Book

 

Thursday, Oct 16th

08:30 AM ET    PPI MoM & YoY (Sep) (Maybe)

08:30 AM ET    Retail Sales MoM & YoY (Sep) (Maybe)

08:30 AM ET    Phiadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims (Maybe)

 

Friday, Oct 17th

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI MoM & YoY (Sep)

08:30 AM ET    Unemployment Report (Sep) (Maybe)

08:30 AM ET    Nonfarm Payrolls (Sep) (Maybe)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Oct 13th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 43%
  • Profit Factor: 1.52
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Oct 14th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61%
  • Profit Factor: 1.75
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Oct 15th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 54%
  • Profit Factor: 1.23
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Oct 16th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61%
  • Profit Factor: 2.36
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Oct 17th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 57%
  • Profit Factor: 0.66
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 4 for 4 times (10 for 10 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 5 Trade

October Record: 22/24 Units

 

Monday, Oct 6th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $669 / $668) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $605 / $604) 🟢

 

Tuesday, Oct 7th

No Signal Produced 

 

Wednesday, Oct 8th

SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $669 / $668) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $605 / $604) 🟢

 

Thursday, Oct 9th

No Signal Produced 

 

Friday, Oct 10th

No Signal Produced 

 


 

Times A Trump Tweet Ruined My Trading Account

1 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

No signal produced

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

No signal produced

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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