Back To Back Bangers!
Hey,
Key Weekly Performance Stats:
- S&P 500: +0.60% (New High)
- Nasdaq 100: +1.37% (New High)
- Russel 2000: +0.28%
- Bitcoin: +0.37% (New High)
Last week, stocks posted modest gains last week as earnings season kicked off and tariff concerns lingered. The Nasdaq rose 1.5%, notching its fifth straight record close on Friday and its 11th all-time high this year. The S&P 500 gained 0.6%, while the Dow slipped 0.3% to finish flat on the week.
Tech led the way—Tesla climbed 3%, and Charles Schwab jumped to a record high after beating earnings expectations. But results were mixed: Netflix fell 5% despite strong numbers. Overall, solid reports from banks and tech helped offset trade policy jitters.
On the economic front, data remained strong. Retail sales beat expectations, CPI rose 2.7% year-over-year, and consumer sentiment hit a five-month high—despite President Trump reviving tariff threats with new 30% duties on Mexico and the EU starting August 1. Industrial production held steady, housing starts met forecasts, and the 10-year Treasury yield dipped to 4.42%. Gold edged up, oil slipped, and bitcoin surged past $123,000 amid fresh crypto regulation news.
Looking ahead, all eyes turn to earnings from the Magnificent Seven, with Alphabet and Tesla leading the lineup. Investors will also watch for S&P flash PMIs, existing home sales, Q2 GDP, and PCE inflation—all of which could shape the Fed’s next move. Fed Chair Powell speaks Tuesday, and markets will be listening closely for signs of either resilience or slowdown. As always, stick to your plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.
Thicc Kohrs
P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)
Earnings
Monday, July 21st
Morning: Verizon
Tuesday, July 22nd
Morning: Coca Cola, GM & Lockheed Martin
Evening: Capital One & SAP
Wednesday, July 23rd
Morning: AT&T
Evening: Alphabet, Chipotle, IBM & Tesla
Thursday, July 24th
Morning: American Airlines & Southwest
Evening: Intel
Friday, July 25th
None
Market Events
Monday, July 21st
10:00 AM ET US Leading Economic Indicators (Jun)
Tuesday, July 22nd
None
Wednesday, July 23rd
10:00 AM ET Exisiting Home Sales (Jun)
10:30 AM ET Crude Oil Inventories
Thursday, July 24th
08:15 AM ET ECB Interest Rate Decision
08:30 AM ET Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 AM ET S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Jul)
10:00 AM ET New Home Sales (Jun)
Friday, July 25th
08:30 AM ET Durable Goods MoM & YoY (Jun)
Seasonality Update
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, July 21st)
- Bull Win Percentage: 26%
- Profit Factor: 0.47
- Bias: Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, July 22nd)
- Bull Win Percentage: 63%
- Profit Factor: 1.77
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, July 23rd)
- Bull Win Percentage: 48%
- Profit Factor: 0.80
- Bias: Neutral
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, July 24th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 48%
- Profit Factor: 0.60
- Bias: Leaning Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, July 25th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 44%
- Profit Factor: 0.85
- Bias: Leaning Bearish
Equity Curve -->
Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.
Options Strategy Update
The 0 DTE signal hit 6 for 8 times (10 for 12 total units) this past week.
Signal Accuracy: ~75%
Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!
Piper's Current Signal Streak: 11 Trades
July Record: 31/34 Units
Monday, June 14th
SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $621 / $620) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $551 / $550) 🟢
Tuesday, July 15th
SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $623 / $622) 🔴
QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $557 / $556) 🔴
Wednesday, July 16th
No signal produced
Thursday, July 17th
SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $623 / $622) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $556 / $555) 🟢
Friday, July 18th
SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $625 / $624) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $559 / $558) 🟢
Apex Accounts Blown
All of them *
* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.
Notes
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
Both of these trades missed.Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!
