The Bulls Won't Quit!
Hey,
Key Weekly Performance Stats:
- S&P 500: +1.46% (New High)
- Nasdaq 100: +0.90% (New High)
- Russel 2000: +1.03%
- Bitcoin: -0.33%
Stocks marched higher all week, with the S&P 500 setting a record close every day and the Nasdaq also finishing at fresh highs; the Dow lagged but still ended the week up. Earnings helped—Alphabet steadied tech sentiment even as Tesla whipsawed—and optimism around potential U.S.–EU trade progress added tailwinds. The 10‑year Treasury yield hovered around 4.39% by Friday’s close.
July “flash” PMIs showed a split picture: services strengthened while manufacturing slipped back into contraction (Manufacturing 49.5). Weekly jobless claims fell to 217,000, underscoring a still‑resilient labor market. June durable‑goods orders slumped on aircraft, while core capital‑goods orders (a proxy for business investment) dipped 0.7% and core shipments rose 0.4%.
Looking ahead, next week is a big macro week. The Fed meets July 29–30, the advance Q2 GDP print lands Wednesday, June PCE inflation is Thursday, and the July jobs report hits Friday. Earnings also stay busy—Boeing reports Tuesday, with Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta later in the week. Global cues to watch include China’s official manufacturing PMI (Thu) and the euro‑area CPI flash (Fri). As always, stick to your plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.
Thicc Kohrs
P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)
Earnings
Monday, July 28th
Evening: Tilray
Tuesday, July 29th
Morning: Boeing, PayPal, SoFi, Spotify, UnitedHealth Group & UPS
Evening: Starbucks & Visa
Wednesday, July 30th
Evening: Arm, Carvana, Ford, META, Microsoft, Qualcomm, & Robinhood
Thursday, July 31st
Morning: CVS, Roblox & Mastercard
Evening: Amazon, Apple, Coinbase, Reddit, Riot & Strategy
Friday, Aug. 1st
Morning: Chevron & Exxon Mobile
Market Events
Monday, July 28th
None Scheduled
Tuesday, July 29th
10:00 AM ET Consumer Confidence (Jul)
10:00 AM ET JOLTs Job Openings (Jun)
Wednesday, July 30th
08:15 AM ET ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jul)
08:30 AM ET GDP QoQ (Q2)
10:30 AM ET Crude Oil Inventories
02:00 PM ET Fed Interest Rate Decision
02:30 PM ET Fed Chair Powell Speech
Thursday, July 31st
08:30 AM ET PCE Price Index MoM & YoY (Jun)
08:30 AM ET Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 AM ET Chicago PMI (Jul)
Friday, Aug. 1st
05:00 AM ET Eurozone CPI MoM & YoY (Jul)
08:30 AM ET Unemployment Rate (Jul)
08:30 AM ET Avg. Hourly Earnings MoM & YoY (Jul)
09:45 AM ET S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul)
10:00 AM ET ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Jul)
Seasonality Update
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, July 28th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 63%
- Profit Factor: 1.92
- Bias: Leaning Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, July 29th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 44%
- Profit Factor: 1.74
- Bias: Leaning Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, July 30th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 48%
- Profit Factor: 0.58
- Bias: Leaning Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, July 31st)
- Bull Win Percentage: 53%
- Profit Factor: 1.29
- Bias: Neutral
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Aug 1st)
- Bull Win Percentage: 37%
- Profit Factor: 0.37
- Bias: Bearish
Equity Curve -->
Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.
Options Strategy Update
The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 8 times ( for total units) this past week.
Signal Accuracy: ~100%
Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!
Piper's Current Signal Streak: 19 Trades
July Record: 45/48 Units
Monday, July 21st
SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $628 / $627) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $561 / $560) 🟢
Tuesday, July 22nd
SPY Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $630 / $631) 🟢
QQQ Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $565 / $566) 🟢
Wednesday, July 23rd
SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $629 / $628) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $559 / $558) 🟢
Thursday, July 24th
SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $633 / $632) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $562 / $561) 🟢
Friday, July 25th
No signal produced
Times Skynet Turned on Me
14 *
* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.
Notes
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!
These PCS's were sold at $0.25/ea and expired worthless -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $750!
