New Highs Incoming?!
Hey,
Key Weekly Performance Stats:
- S&P 500: +2.43%
- Nasdaq 100: +3.76%
- Russel 2000: +2.67%
- Bitcoin: +3.03%
Last week, markets swung between optimism and caution. Monday kicked off strong as weak July jobs data and renewed tariff concerns fueled bets on Fed rate cuts—the Dow jumped nearly 600 points (1.3%), the S&P 500 rose 1.5%, and the Nasdaq gained 2%. Tech and communication services led the way, while real estate and utilities lagged. By Friday, the indexes had continued their push higher with all indices ending nicely in the green.
Economic headlines kept traders on edge. The Bank of England cut rates for the fifth time, while U.S. services PMI and trade data pointed to slowing growth under the weight of new tariffs. Lingering weak job numbers, political noise from President Trump’s Fed nomination, and trade tensions with both the EU and China stoked volatility. Abroad, China’s trade and inflation figures signaled ongoing strain, and eurozone stocks slid on U.S.-EU deal worries.
Looking ahead to next week, inflation data will take the spotlight. The July CPI data drops Tuesday, followed by PPI and jobless claims Thursday, with housing and consumer expectations reports sprinkled in. A softer inflation print could boost confidence in near-term Fed cuts—just the spark markets might need during a seasonally choppy August. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.
Thicc Kohrs
P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)
Earnings
Monday, Aug 11th
Evening: AMC, Archer, Oklo & Plug
Tuesday, Aug 12th
Morning: Circle
Evening: CAVA, CoreWeave & Rigetti
Wednesday, Aug 13th
Morning:
Evening: Cisco
Thursday, Aug 14th
Morning: JD & John Deere
Friday, Aug 15th
None
Market Events
Monday, Aug 11th
None
Tuesday, Aug 12th
08:30 AM ET CPI MoM & YoY (Jul)
Wednesday, Aug 13th
10:30 AM ET Crude Oil Inventories
Thursday, Aug 14th
08:30 AM ET PPI MoM & YoY (Jul)
08:30 AM ET Initial Jobless Claims
Friday, Aug 15th
08:30 AM ET Retail Sales MoM & YoY (Jul)
10:00 AM ET Consumer Sentiment (Aug)
Seasonality Update
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Aug 11th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 52%
- Profit Factor: 0.55
- Bias: Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Aug 12th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 52%
- Profit Factor: 1.79
- Bias: Leaning Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Aug 13th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 52%
- Profit Factor: 1.37
- Bias: Leaning Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Aug 14th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 52%
- Profit Factor: 2.12
- Bias: Leaning Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Aug 15th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 67%
- Profit Factor: 2.62
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.
Options Strategy Update
The 0 DTE signal hit 9 for 10 times (20 for 22 total units) this past week.
Signal Accuracy: ~90%
Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!
Piper's Current Signal Streak: 9 Trades
August Record: 26/28 Units
Monday, Aug 4th
SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $631 / $632) 🔴
QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $564 / $565) 🟢
Tuesday, Aug 5th
SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $633 / $634) 🟢
QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $567 / $568) 🟢
Wednesday, Aug 6th
SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $628 / $627) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $560 / $559) 🟢
Thursday, Aug 7th
SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $630 / $629) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $568 / $567) 🟢
Friday, Aug 8th
SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $633 / $632) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $569 / $568) 🟢
Times Skynet Worked As Expected
Once, but it was exciting *
* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.
Notes
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
Both of these trades missed. Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!
These PCS's were sold at $0.70/ea (average) and were bought back at $0.675/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,700!
Both of these trades missed. Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!
These CCS's were sold at $1.10/ea (average) and were bought back at $0.30/ea (average) -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,200!
Both of these trades missed. Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!
These PCS's were sold at $0.75/ea (average) and were bought back at $0.30/ea (average) -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $675!
