Matt Kohrs
News • Business • Investing & Finance
What In The World?! || Issue 12
“Greed, for lack of a better word, is good."
March 16, 2023
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Whiplash Galore!!!

Things popped. Things dropped. Things then really popped?!

The Jobs Report & Housing Data prompted volatility this morning, but the ECB really got things hot & bothered. The European Central Bank decided to raise their rate by 50bps this morning. At first, this seemed be bearish. I mean after all, they did take steps to lessen demand and stated various European banks could be vulnerable in the current economic environment. 

That might sound pretty gnarly upon your first read -- I fully agree. But let's think about it another way. The fact that the ECB felt comfortable with a sizeable rate hike could mean that they believe the current situation isn't that disastrous. To put it another way, their willingness to push down on the economy means they don't think the economy is that bad. 

I have no clue if they are right or wrong, but the bulls in the market are enjoying the decision. I made some smart moves, some dumb moves, and think something exciting is on the horizon (all detailed below).

 


 

Market Events: Thursday, March 17th

09:15 AM    Industrial Production

09:15 AM    Capacity Utilization

10:00 AM    U.S. Leading Economic Index

10:00 AM    Consumer Sentiment

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (March 17th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 68%
  • Profit Factor: 1.23
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->


 

Current Account Value (March 16th) +$168

$9,395

Daily Realized P&L: +$168

YTD Realized P&L: +$1,855

 


 

Closed Position(s) +$168

META $187.50/$185 Put Credit Spread (7) March 17th

  • Original Credit: $28
  • Closed Debit: $4
  • P&L: +$168 (+85.7%)

 


 

New Position(s)

META PUT Credit Spread (8) March 17th

  • Sold: $202.5 & Bought: $200 --> Credit: $108
  • Max Return: $108 & Max Risk: $142
  • Current Value: $59
  • Profit Target: $0 (Max)
  • Profit Odds: 47%

Reasoning: I'm essentially on tilt. My plan is apparently throwing whatever I can at the wall to save this position. Godspeed.


 

Current Position(s)

META Call Credit Spread (5) March 17th

  • Sold: $190 & Bought: $192.5 --> Credit: $33
  • Max Return: $33 & Max Risk: $217
  • Current Value: $250
  • Profit Target: $0 (Max)
  • Profit Odds: 22%

 

META CALL Credit Spread (8) March 17th

  • Sold: $200 & Bought: $202.50 --> Credit: $38
  • Max Return: $38 & Max Risk: $212
  • Current Value: $198
  • Profit Target: $0 (Max)
  • Profit Odds: 37%

 

NVDA Call Credit Spread (2) March 31st

  • Sold: $270 & Bought: $275 --> Credit: $71
  • Max Return: $71 & Max Risk: $429
  • Current Value: $125
  • Profit Target: $25
  • Profit Odds: 71%

 

OXY Put Credit Spread (10) March 31st

  • Sold: $58 & Bought: $57 --> Credit: $20
  • Max Return: $20 & Max Risk: $80
  • Current Value: $37
  • Profit Target: $8
  • Profit Odds: 57%

 

QQQ Call Credit Spread (10) March 31st

  • Sold: $312 & Bought: $313 --> Credit: $0.20
  • Max Return: $20 & Max Risk: $80
  • Current Value: $40
  • Profit Target: $8
  • Profit Odds: 64%

 

TSLA Call Credit Spread (4) March 31st

  • Sold: $200 & Bought: $202.50 --> Credit: $37
  • Max Return: $37 & Max Risk: $213
  • Current Value: $52
  • Profit Target: $15
  • Profit Odds: 78%

 

JPM Put Credit Spread (5) April 6th

  • Sold: $125 & Bought: $120 --> Credit: $100
  • Max Return: $100 & Max Risk: $400
  • Current Value: $103
  • Profit Target: $40
  • Profit Odds: 67%

 

TSLA Call Credit Spread (5) April 6th

  • Sold: $207.50 & Bought: $210 --> Credit: $40
  • Max Return: $40 & Max Risk: $210
  • Current Value: $51
  • Profit Target: $15
  • Profit Odds: 81%

 

TLT Put Credit Spread (10) April 21st

  • Sold: $101 & Bought: $100 --> Credit: $27
  • Max Return: $27 & Max Risk: $73
  • Current Value: $24
  • Profit Target: $40
  • Profit Odds: 72%

 


 

My Thoughts

Oh brother... I had quite the interesting day.

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February 26, 2024
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Goodbye May, Hello June || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (June 2nd - 6th)

Goodbye May, Hello June

Hey,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +1.88%
  • Nasdaq 100: +2.03% 
  • Russel 2000: +1.19%
  • Bitcoin: -3.07%

Last week, despite some choppy sessions, markets ended the week on a high note. After closing for Memorial Day on May 26, the S&P 500 jumped 2.1% on May 27—snapping a four-day losing streak—after President Trump postponed EU tariffs to July 9. Tech and consumer discretionary stocks led the rally. The momentum carried into May 29, thanks to strong earnings from Nvidia, which posted a 69% revenue surge and briefly surpassed Microsoft in market cap. The S&P 500 dipped modestly on May 28 and May 30, with renewed China tariff concerns and earnings anticipation weighing on sentiment. Still, it finished May up 6.2%—its best month since November 2023.

Economic data was quiet early in the week but picked up on May 30. April’s Core PCE rose just 0.1%, with a year-over-year rate of 2.5%, pointing to easing inflation. Personal income beat expectations, up 0.8%, while spending rose 0.2%, in line with forecasts. However, the Chicago PMI fell to 40.5, signaling manufacturing contraction, and consumer sentiment remained weak at 52.2.

Looking ahead, all eyes will be on the May jobs report due June 6, a key gauge of labor market strength. Trade updates with the EU and China, especially after Trump’s tariff delay, will also be in focus. Investors will watch for Fed commentary, including a speech from Fed Chairman Powell, for any signals on rate policy amid mixed inflation and growth data. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, June 2nd

Morning: Cambell's

Tuesday, June 3rd

Morning: Dollar General & NIO

Evening: Crowdstrike

Wednesday, June 4th

Morning: Dollar Tree

Evening: MongoDB

Thursday, June 5th

Evening: Broadcom, DocuSign & Lululemon 

Friday, June 6th

None

 


 

Market Events

Monday, June 2nd

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (May)

01:00 PM ET    Fed Chair Powell Speaks

 

Tuesday, June 3rd

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI MoM & YoY (May)

10:00 AM ET    JOLTs Job Openings (Apr)

 

Wednesday, June 4th

08:15 AM ET    ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (May)

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Services PMI (May)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (May)

 

Thursday, June 5th

08:30 AM ET    ECB Interest Rate Decision (June)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

 

Friday, June 6th

08:30 AM ET    Unemployment Rate (May)

08:30 AM ET    Nonfarm Payrolls (May)

08:30 AM ET    Avg. Hourly Earnings (May)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, June 2nd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 74%
  • Profit Factor: 1.52
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, June 3rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 81%
  • Profit Factor: 17.73
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, June 4th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 44%
  • Profit Factor: 0.95
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, June 5th)

    • Bull Win Percentage: 56%
    • Profit Factor: 1.81
    • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, June 6th)

    • Bull Win Percentage: 59%
    • Profit Factor: 1.61
    • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 8 times (14 for 14 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 10 Trades

May Record: 42/44 Units

 

Monday, May 26th

No Signal Produced (Market Closed -- Memorial Day)

 

Tuesday, May 27th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $584 / $583) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $514 / $513) 🟢

 

Wednesday, May 28th

SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $588 / $587) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $519 / $518) 🟢

 

Thursday, May 29th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $587 / $586) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $518 / $517) 🟢

 

Friday, May 30th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $585 / $584) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $515 / $514) 🟢

 


 

Times I Shouted "Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner!"

 62 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report || WTF Elon?!
Thursday, June 5th

WTF Elon?!

THICC RETURN: -$13,125

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: -$158

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:00am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).SPY Hit & QQQ Missed

SPY Return: +$20 (+100%) per $180 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: -$178 per $178 signal capital requirement

Total Return: -$158 per $358 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trades

Got cooked.

 

Total Return: -$13,125 (before fees)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$1,200) || The Goonies Are PRINTING!!!
Wednesday, June 4th

PRINTING!!!

THICC RETURN: +$1,200

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID -- Today's trades would have paid for TWO YEARS OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$40 (+100%)

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:15am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$24 (+100%) per $176 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$16 (+100%) per $184 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$40 (+100%) per $360 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 20 SPX 5,945/5,940 Put Credit Spreads (Piper Strategy)These PCS's were sold at $0.60/ea and all expired worthless -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,200!

 

Trade One Return: +$1,200

Total Return: +$1,200 (before fees)

 

These trades alone would have paid for TWO YEARS OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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