Matt Kohrs
News • Business • Investing & Finance
You’re Confirmed [February 23 @ 1:00 PM EST]
😱 Vanna - Feel The Force (IT’S A TRAP!!!)
February 22, 2024

Hey Goonies!

“How do I determine if Volatility is cheap or expensive?”

It’s a question that gets a lot of airtime these days, and rightly so. So what’s the answer?

Well, there are two main considerations for what drives volatility: 

  1. Human perception, in the form of expectations

  2. Actual demand, based on either algorithmic or fundamentally-driven trading

 

These factors, along with trading volume, are ultimately what drives both options and stock prices.

So as a responsible and informed trader, what can you do to equip yourself to navigate these powerful mechanics?

And one step further –  how can you know when a trend might just turn out to be a deadly trap for traders? 

 

This Friday, Brent Kochuba and the team at SpotGamma are hosting a FREE webinar geared to answer this question, and more:

  • How Vanna – The Second-Order, Volatility Greek – influences options trading, how Market Makers hedge their portfolios, PLUS Vanna’s influence in a specific case study from the red hot tech sector

You can register here, right now:

Vanna -- Feel The Force (IT'S A TRAP!!!)

 

Love You Forever,

Thicc Kohrs

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FREE Options Trading Lecture This Friday @ 10am ET

It's all going down THIS FRIDAY!!!

The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
All you need to do is be where you normally watch me at 10am ET!

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Bonus Content

This is how my boss taunts me before i start an edit

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February 26, 2024
Welcome! Read This To Get Into The Goonie Trading Discord!!!

If you're having any issues getting connected to the Goonie Discord, don't hesitate to reach out to me. (IT CAN TAKE UP TO 24 HOURS FOR YOUR ACCOUNT TO PROCESS)

DMing me on Discord would be the most efficient (@mmk147) or you could email me at: [email protected]

Use the code GOONIE to switch from a Local's Member to a Local's Support for FREE to get premium access.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
PRO TIP: Make sure you are logged into the correct Discord account when you sync your two accounts.

November 21, 2025
HAPPY PAYDAY FRIDAY! || Prop Giveaway!!!
November 14, 2025
HAPPY PAYDAY FRIDAY!!! (Free Entry)
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Time To Be Bearish?! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (November 24th - 28th)

Time To Be Bearish?!

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: -1.95
  • Nasdaq 100: -3.07% 
  • Russel 2000: -0.84%
  • Bitcoin: -9.98%

Last week, the market spent time bouncing between AI-fueled excitement and tech-led panic. Monday opened weak as Nvidia and other mega-cap names dragged the major indexes lower. Midweek, strong earnings from Nvidia and Walmart provided a brief spark, but valuation worries quickly took over and sent tech sharply lower on Thursday. A small Friday rebound helped stabilize things, though the S&P and Nasdaq still finished the week in the red.

The macro calendar delivered plenty of noise thanks to the post-shutdown data backlog. Early in the week, regional manufacturing and homebuilder sentiment reminded traders that parts of the economy are still cooling. Wednesday’s FOMC minutes didn’t change the broader outlook, while Thursday’s jobless claims showed a labor market that’s slowly losing momentum. By Friday, a wave of delayed releases—payrolls, durable goods, inventories, personal income and spending, confidence surveys, and housing data—painted a mixed picture. Consumers are still spending, but overall sentiment remains shaky.

Looking ahead to next week, the schedule thins out but still has key checkpoints. Tuesday brings fresh readings on consumer confidence and business inventories. Wednesday packs the bigger punch with the next GDP estimate, the advance durable goods report, and the latest personal income and PCE inflation data. Markets close Thursday for Thanksgiving and shut early on Friday, so expect thin liquidity, and potentially outsized reactions if any midweek data surprises. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Nov 24th

Evening: Zoom

Tuesday, Nov 25th

Morning: Alibaba, Best Buy & NIO

Evening: Dell

Wednesday, Nov 26th

Morning: John Deere

Thursday, Nov 27th

None

Friday, Nov 28th

None

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Nov 24th

None

 

Tuesday, Nov 25th

08:30 AM ET    Retail Sales MoM & YoY (Sep)

08:30 AM ET    PPI MoM & YoY (Sep)

08:30 AM ET    Consumer Confidence (Nov)

 

Wednesday, Nov 26th

08:30 AM ET    GDP QoQ (Q3)

08:30 AM ET    Durable Goods Orders MoM & YoY (Sep)

09:45 AM ET    Chicago PMI (Nov)

10:00 AM ET    PCE Price Index MoM & YoY (Sep)

10:00 AM ET    New Home Sales (Sep)

 

Thursday, Nov 27th

ALL DAY          Market Closed (Happy Thanksgiving!)

 

Friday, Nov 28th

01:00 PM ET    Market Closes Early

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Nov 24th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 64%
  • Profit Factor: 2.62
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Nov 25th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 68%
  • Profit Factor: 1.89
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Nov 26th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 68%
  • Profit Factor: 2.43
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Nov 27th)

  • Market Closed All Day (Thanksgiving)

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Nov 28th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 54%
  • Profit Factor: 0.75
  • Bias: Neutral
  • Market Half Day

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 0 for 0 times (0 for 0 total units) this past week. Volatility was too high for Piper to fire.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 13 Trades

November Record: 20/20 Units

 

Monday, Nov 17th

No Signal Produced

 

TuesdayNov 18th

No Signal Produced

 

Wednesday, Nov 19th

No Signal Produced

 

Thursday, Nov 20th

No Signal Produced

 

Friday, Nov 21st

No Signal Produced

 


 

Times I Almost Blew All of My Apex Accounts

1 (Very painful, but also very lucky) *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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November 21, 2025
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Daily Degen Trade Report || TGIF!
Friday, November 21st

TGIF!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

No Signal Produced

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
November 20, 2025
post photo preview
Daily Degen Trade Report || Bloody Thursday :(
Thursday, November 20th

Bloody Thursday :(

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

No Signal Produced

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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