Matt Kohrs
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Pure Market Chaos
Monday, August 5th
August 05, 2024
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Pure Market Chaos

TODAY'S GAIN: -$40,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE... The opposite of good :(

I was a little too cocky from my gain last week. I wasn't reading the price action well. And to top it all off, I was too slow in letting go of my losers. As you can imagine when you put all of these ingredients together, it makes a pretty horrible tendie dish. 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BULLISH signal, 3/5 strength, was generated at 10:20am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!

SPY Return: +$15 (+100%) per $85 signal cost

QQQ Return: +$8 (+100%) per $92 signal cost

Total Return: +$23 (+100%) -- This could easily be scaled per $177 signal cost

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 30 SPX 5125 Puts (Degen Yolo)Even though this trade was a huge loss, I don't hate it. I waited for a smalled timeframe reversion to once againg align with the overall trend. The entry doesn't bother me at all. I ended up being early, which is going to happen a lot the more you trade. My issue was the oversizing, which prompted me to holder onto this loser longer than I should have. By the time everything settled, my average entry was $17.97/ea, and my average exit was $4.31/ea -- This means my realized loss was $40,970.

 

Trade Two: 4 NDX 18,500 Calls (Revenge Degen Yolo) In an effort to make my loss back quickly, I made to stupid decision to revenge trade. Fortunately, this one didn't cost me anything. I got lucky. My average entry was $130.00/ea, and my average exit was $135.00/ea -- This means my REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,000.

 

Trade Three: 30 x SPX 5200/5195 Put Credit Spread (Scalp Strategy Trade) I'm not sure what in the world I was thinking, but I randomly decided to excute my normal scalp strategy today. It was illogical and clearly cost me. My average entry was $1.50/ea, and my average exit was $2.10/ea -- This means my realized loss was $1,200.

 

Trade Four: 6 NDX 17,000 Puts (Reasonable Trend Swing Trade)I'm a fan of this trade, but it has not been closed out. It's up to the Market Gods if I make money or not. Godspeed.

 

Trade One Return: -$40,970

Trade Two Return: +$2,000

Trade Three Return: -$1,200

Trade Four Return: Unknown

Total Return: -$40,170 (before fees)

 


 

How To Join The Goonie Discord (For FREE)

Join the Goonie Discord if you want access to any of the following:

  • My Live Trades & Thoughts
  • Weekly Teaching Sessions
  • Weekly Newsletter
  • Trading Competitions
  • Texas Roadhouse Talk

Remember you can join the Discord for FREE with the code GOONIE (Click Here!). This code will allow to become a Locals "supporter". Supporters get full access to the entire Locals Community & Goonie Discord server.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
(Allow up to 24hrs to process after you've become a "supporter". If you have any issues, don't hesitate to reach out -- Feel free to DM on Discord or Twitter.)

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Easily Build Your Own AI Trading Strategies To Beat Apex (Ep. 2)
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Summertime Sadness || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (August 18th - 22nd)

Summertime Sadness

Hey,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +0.94% 
  • Nasdaq 100: +0.39% 
  • Russel 2000: +2.48%
  • Bitcoin: +0.65% 

Last week, markets had a choppy but overall positive week. Tuesday brought a strong rally, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closing at record highs after July’s CPI came in cooler than expected, which fueled fresh hopes for a Fed rate cut in September. But Thursday’s hotter-than-expected PPI report poured some cold water on that optimism, leaving markets mixed. Still, the Dow hit an intraday all-time high on Friday, and all three major indexes managed to notch a second straight weekly gain. Meanwhile, trade chatter (like China tariff headlines) kept things noisy.

The economic data did most of the heavy lifting. July CPI showed inflation cooling at 0.2% month-over-month, with core inflation running at 3.1% year-over-year. This was basically in line with expectations. But PPI surprised to the upside, jumping 0.9%. It was the biggest monthly increase in about three years. Retail sales came in solid at +0.7%, showing consumers are still spending. Fed officials stayed cautious, but Chicago Fed President Goolsbee left the door open for a possible rate cut this fall if inflation keeps behaving.

Looking ahead to next week, eyes turn to housing and the Fed. We’ll get housing starts and building permits Tuesday, FOMC minutes Wednesday, and a big earnings report from Walmart Thursday morning. Also, the Jackson Hole symposium kicks off the same day. Fed Chair Powell is set to speak Friday. All of this will help shape market expectations heading into the Fed’s September meeting. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Aug 18th

Evening: Palo Alto Networks

Tuesday, Aug 19th

Morning: Home Depot

Wednesday, Aug 20th

Morning: Target & TJ Maxx

Thursday, Aug 21st

Morning: Walmart

Evening: Zoom

Friday, Aug 22nd

Morning: BJ's

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Aug 18th

None

 

Tuesday, Aug 19th

None

 

Wednesday, Aug 20th

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI MoM & YoY (Jul)

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

02:00 PM ET    FOMC Meeting Minutes

 

Thursday, Aug 21st

08:30 AM ET    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Aug)

10:00 AM ET    Existing Home Sales (Jul)

 

Friday, Aug 22nd

10:00 AM ET    Chair Powell Press Conference

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Aug 18th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 67%
  • Profit Factor: 1.14
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Aug 19th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 44%
  • Profit Factor: 0.60
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Aug 20th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 44%
  • Profit Factor: 0.63
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Aug 21th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 67%
  • Profit Factor: 1.08
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Aug 15th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 48%
  • Profit Factor: 0.66
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 7 for 8 times (14 for 16 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~87.5%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 7 Trades

August Record: 40/44 Units

 

Monday, Aug 11th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $636 / $635) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $573 / $572) 🔴

 

Tuesday, Aug 12th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $636 / $635) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $572 / $571) 🟢

 

Wednesday, Aug 13th

No Signal Generated

 

Thursday, Aug 14th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $641 / $640) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $577 / $576) 🟢

 

Friday, Aug 15th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $647 / $648) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $581 / $582) 🟢

 


 

Accounts Blown By Skynet

The limit doesn't exist *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report || TGIF!!!
Friday, August 15th

TGIF!!!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$16 (+100%)

A BEARISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:50am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$8 (+100%) per $192 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$8 (+100%) per $192 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$16 (+100%) per $384 signal capital requirement

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$750) || Become A Goonie For FREE!!!
Thursday, August 14th

Down, But Now Out!

THICC RETURN: +$750

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID, AGAIN! -- Today's trades would have paid for MORE THAN AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$26 (+100%)

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 10:45am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$12 (+100%) per $188 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$26 (+100%) per $374 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 30 SPX 6,435/6,430 Put Credit Spreads (Piper Signal)These PCS's were sold at $0.25/ea and expired worthless  -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $750!

 

Trade One Return: +$750

Total Return: +$750 (before fees)

 

These trades alone would have paid for MORE THAN AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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