Matt Kohrs
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Pure Market Chaos
Monday, August 5th
August 05, 2024
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Pure Market Chaos

TODAY'S GAIN: -$40,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE... The opposite of good :(

I was a little too cocky from my gain last week. I wasn't reading the price action well. And to top it all off, I was too slow in letting go of my losers. As you can imagine when you put all of these ingredients together, it makes a pretty horrible tendie dish. 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BULLISH signal, 3/5 strength, was generated at 10:20am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!

SPY Return: +$15 (+100%) per $85 signal cost

QQQ Return: +$8 (+100%) per $92 signal cost

Total Return: +$23 (+100%) -- This could easily be scaled per $177 signal cost

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 30 SPX 5125 Puts (Degen Yolo)Even though this trade was a huge loss, I don't hate it. I waited for a smalled timeframe reversion to once againg align with the overall trend. The entry doesn't bother me at all. I ended up being early, which is going to happen a lot the more you trade. My issue was the oversizing, which prompted me to holder onto this loser longer than I should have. By the time everything settled, my average entry was $17.97/ea, and my average exit was $4.31/ea -- This means my realized loss was $40,970.

 

Trade Two: 4 NDX 18,500 Calls (Revenge Degen Yolo) In an effort to make my loss back quickly, I made to stupid decision to revenge trade. Fortunately, this one didn't cost me anything. I got lucky. My average entry was $130.00/ea, and my average exit was $135.00/ea -- This means my REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,000.

 

Trade Three: 30 x SPX 5200/5195 Put Credit Spread (Scalp Strategy Trade) I'm not sure what in the world I was thinking, but I randomly decided to excute my normal scalp strategy today. It was illogical and clearly cost me. My average entry was $1.50/ea, and my average exit was $2.10/ea -- This means my realized loss was $1,200.

 

Trade Four: 6 NDX 17,000 Puts (Reasonable Trend Swing Trade)I'm a fan of this trade, but it has not been closed out. It's up to the Market Gods if I make money or not. Godspeed.

 

Trade One Return: -$40,970

Trade Two Return: +$2,000

Trade Three Return: -$1,200

Trade Four Return: Unknown

Total Return: -$40,170 (before fees)

 


 

How To Join The Goonie Discord (For FREE)

Join the Goonie Discord if you want access to any of the following:

  • My Live Trades & Thoughts
  • Weekly Teaching Sessions
  • Weekly Newsletter
  • Trading Competitions
  • Texas Roadhouse Talk

Remember you can join the Discord for FREE with the code GOONIE (Click Here!). This code will allow to become a Locals "supporter". Supporters get full access to the entire Locals Community & Goonie Discord server.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
(Allow up to 24hrs to process after you've become a "supporter". If you have any issues, don't hesitate to reach out -- Feel free to DM on Discord or Twitter.)

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FREE Options Trading Lecture This Friday @ 10am ET

It's all going down THIS FRIDAY!!!

The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
All you need to do is be where you normally watch me at 10am ET!

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BTFD?! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (July 20th - July 24th)

BTFD?! 

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: -1.55%
  • Nasdaq 100: -4.13%
  • Russel 2000: -0.86%
  • Bitcoin: -0.37%

Last week, stocks hit their first real speed bump in a while as profit-taking swept through many of the market's biggest AI names. The S&P 500 fell 1.6%, the Dow slipped 0.9%, and the Nasdaq-100 was hit the hardest, -4.1%, as semiconductor stocks led the selloff. TSMC delivered another strong quarter and reinforced the long-term AI story, but that wasn't enough to stop the rotation. Earnings season also got underway with solid reports from the major banks, while Netflix's outlook left investors wanting more.

The week's economic data painted a mixed but generally encouraging picture. June CPI and PPI both came in softer than expected, suggesting inflation continues to cool, while retail sales and a drop in weekly jobless claims pointed to an economy that's still holding up well. Geopolitics remained on investors' radar too, as renewed fighting involving Iran pushed oil prices higher and added another layer of uncertainty heading into the weekend.

Next week shifts the focus back to earnings. Alphabet, Tesla, General Motors, and Intel all report, with AI spending and corporate guidance likely to set the tone. On the economic calendar, Monday brings the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, Thursday features weekly jobless claims, and Friday includes the first look at July's S&P Global manufacturing and services PMIs along with June new home sales. There are no Fed meetings or market holidays, so expect earnings to remain the main driver. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Trading Discord is LIVE!!! (https://bit.ly/GoonieDiscord)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, July 20th

Morning: AMC

Tuesday, July 21st

Morning: GM

Wednesday, July 22nd

Evening: Alphabet, IBM & Tesla

Thursday, July 23rd

Morning: American Airlines

Evening: Intel

Friday, July 24th

Morning: American Express & Verizon

 


 

Market Events

Monday, July 20th

None Scheduled

 

Tuesday, July 21st

None Scheduled

 

Wednesday, July 22nd

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

 

Thursday, July 23rd

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claim

 

Friday, July 24th

08:30 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Jul)

10:00 AM ET    New Home Sales (Jun)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, July 20th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 68%
  • Profit Factor: 1.61
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, July 21st)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 29%
  • Profit Factor: 0.50
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, July 22nd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61%
  • Profit Factor: 1.77
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, July 23rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 50%
  • Profit Factor: 1.07
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, July 24th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46%
  • Profit Factor: 0.59
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 10 times (16 for 20 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~80%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join me today!!! Click Here!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 8 Trades

July Record: 36/40 Units

 

Monday, July 13th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $750 / $749) 🔴

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $712 / $711) 🔴

 

Tuesday, July 14th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $748 / $747) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $714 / $713) 🟢

 

Wednesday, July 15th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $756 / $757) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $725 / $726) 🟢

 

Thursday, July 16th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $750 / $749) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $706 / $705) 🟢

 

Friday, July 17th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $740 / $739) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $686 / $685) 🟢

 


 

Account Blown Due To Trump Tweets

17,992  *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$900) || TGIF!!!
Friday, July 17th

TGIF!!!

THICC RETURN: +$900

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID -- Today's trades would have paid for ALMOST AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$28

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:30am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed.Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$28 (+100%) per $372 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 20 SPX 7,430/7,420 Put Credit SpreadsThese PCS's were sold at $0.60/ea and were bought back at $0.15/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $900!!!

 

Trade One Return: +$900

Total Return: +900 (before fees)

These trades alone would have paid for ALMOST AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$0) || Hunting New Highs
Thursday, July 16th

Hunting New Highs

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$40

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 10:30am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed.Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$16 (+100%) per $184 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$12 (+100%) per $176 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$40 (+100%) per $360 signal capital requirement

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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