Matt Kohrs
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Pure Market Chaos
Monday, August 5th
August 05, 2024
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Pure Market Chaos

TODAY'S GAIN: -$40,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE... The opposite of good :(

I was a little too cocky from my gain last week. I wasn't reading the price action well. And to top it all off, I was too slow in letting go of my losers. As you can imagine when you put all of these ingredients together, it makes a pretty horrible tendie dish. 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BULLISH signal, 3/5 strength, was generated at 10:20am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!

SPY Return: +$15 (+100%) per $85 signal cost

QQQ Return: +$8 (+100%) per $92 signal cost

Total Return: +$23 (+100%) -- This could easily be scaled per $177 signal cost

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 30 SPX 5125 Puts (Degen Yolo)Even though this trade was a huge loss, I don't hate it. I waited for a smalled timeframe reversion to once againg align with the overall trend. The entry doesn't bother me at all. I ended up being early, which is going to happen a lot the more you trade. My issue was the oversizing, which prompted me to holder onto this loser longer than I should have. By the time everything settled, my average entry was $17.97/ea, and my average exit was $4.31/ea -- This means my realized loss was $40,970.

 

Trade Two: 4 NDX 18,500 Calls (Revenge Degen Yolo) In an effort to make my loss back quickly, I made to stupid decision to revenge trade. Fortunately, this one didn't cost me anything. I got lucky. My average entry was $130.00/ea, and my average exit was $135.00/ea -- This means my REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,000.

 

Trade Three: 30 x SPX 5200/5195 Put Credit Spread (Scalp Strategy Trade) I'm not sure what in the world I was thinking, but I randomly decided to excute my normal scalp strategy today. It was illogical and clearly cost me. My average entry was $1.50/ea, and my average exit was $2.10/ea -- This means my realized loss was $1,200.

 

Trade Four: 6 NDX 17,000 Puts (Reasonable Trend Swing Trade)I'm a fan of this trade, but it has not been closed out. It's up to the Market Gods if I make money or not. Godspeed.

 

Trade One Return: -$40,970

Trade Two Return: +$2,000

Trade Three Return: -$1,200

Trade Four Return: Unknown

Total Return: -$40,170 (before fees)

 


 

How To Join The Goonie Discord (For FREE)

Join the Goonie Discord if you want access to any of the following:

  • My Live Trades & Thoughts
  • Weekly Teaching Sessions
  • Weekly Newsletter
  • Trading Competitions
  • Texas Roadhouse Talk

Remember you can join the Discord for FREE with the code GOONIE (Click Here!). This code will allow to become a Locals "supporter". Supporters get full access to the entire Locals Community & Goonie Discord server.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
(Allow up to 24hrs to process after you've become a "supporter". If you have any issues, don't hesitate to reach out -- Feel free to DM on Discord or Twitter.)

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The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
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Degen Cowboy || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (April 13th - 17th)

Degen Cowboy

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +3.56
  • Nasdaq 100: +4.45% 
  • Russel 2000: +4.62%
  • Bitcoin: +9.02%

Last week, stock bounced hard with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all putting together their best stretch in months as traders leaned risk-on again. A big part of that came from easing tension headlines around Iran, along with oil pulling back from earlier spikes. Trump was active throughout the week, talking about potential cooperation with Iran while also floating tougher tariffs on countries supporting them, so geopolitics stayed front and center. By Friday, things cooled a bit with markets finishing mixed, but overall the tone for the week was clearly stronger.

On the data side, inflation is still not going away quietly. The FOMC minutes showed the Fed is increasingly concerned about sticky inflation, especially with energy and tariffs in the mix. CPI came in hot for March, driven largely by energy, while core inflation was more contained. PCE earlier in the week told a similar story. At the same time, consumer sentiment dropped sharply, which added a bit of caution into the end of the week and helped explain why the rally lost some steam on Friday.

Looking ahead to next week, there is a solid but not overwhelming lineup. Tuesday brings PPI, Wednesday has import and export prices along with the Fed’s Beige Book, and Thursday rounds things out with industrial production and capacity utilization. Notably, retail sales won’t hit next week after being pushed back, so one of the usual big catalysts is off the table. Markets will likely stay focused on inflation trends and any new headlines out of the Middle East as the next driver. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Apr 13th

Morning: Goldman Sachs

Tuesday, Apr 14th

Morning: BlackRock, Citi, J&J, JPMorgan & Wells Fargo

Wednesday, Apr 15th

Morning: ASML, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley & PNC

Thursday, Apr 16th

Morning: Charles Schwab, Pepsi Co & TSMC

Evening: Netflix

Friday, Apr 17th

None

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Apr 13th

10:0 AM ET    Existing Home Sales (Mar)

 

Tuesday, Apr 14th

08:30 AM ET    PPI MoM & YoY (Mar)

 

Wednesday, Apr 15th

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

02:00 PM ET    Fed Beige Book

 

Thursday, Apr 16th

08:30 AM ET    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claim

 

Friday, Apr 17th

None

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Apr 13th)

    • Bull Win Percentage: 54%
    • Profit Factor: 0.24
    • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Apr 14th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 50%
  • Profit Factor: 2.20
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Apr 15th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 43%
  • Profit Factor: 0.33
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Apr 16th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 54%
  • Profit Factor: 1.57
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Apr 17th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 75%
  • Profit Factor: 1.65
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 2 for 6 times (6 for 14 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~33%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 2 Trades

April Record: 10/18 Units

 

Monday, Apr 6th

No Signal Produced

 

Tuesday, Apr 7th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $658 / $659) 🔴

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $588 / $589) 🔴

 

Wednesday, Apr 8th

No Signal Produced

 

Thursday, Apr 9th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $676 / $677) 🔴

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $607 / $608) 🔴

 

Friday, Apr 10th

SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $679 / $678) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $610 / $609) 🟢

 


 

Random Market Whipsaw Prompted By Iran News

93,771 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$675) || TGIF!
Friday, April 10th

TGIF!

THICC RETURN: +$675

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID -- Today's trades would have paid for MORE THAN 6 MONTHS OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$66

A BULLISH signal, 5/5 strength, was generated around 11:15am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed. Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!

SPY Return: +$33 (+100%) per $267 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$33 (+100%) per $267 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$66 (+100%) per $534 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 15 SPX 6,745/6,725 Put Credit SpreadsThese PCS's were sold at $3.85/ea and were bought back at $3.63/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $675!!!

 

Trade One Return: +$675

Total Return: +$675 (before fees)

These trades alone would have paid for MORE THAN 6 MONTHS OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$1,050) || Up, Up & Away!
Thursday, April 9th

Up, Up & Away!

THICC RETURN: +$1,050

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID -- Today's trades would have paid for MORE THAN AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: -$334

A BEARISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 10:30am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both missed :(

SPY Return: -$154 per $154 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: -$180 per $180 signal capital requirement

Total Return: -$334 per $334 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 15 SPX 6,745/6,725 Put Credit SpreadsThese PCS's were sold at $0.85/ea and were bought back at $0.15/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,050!!!

 

Trade One Return: +$1,050

Total Return: +$1,050 (before fees)

These trades alone would have paid for MORE THAN AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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