Matt Kohrs
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Pure Market Chaos
Monday, August 5th
August 05, 2024
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Pure Market Chaos

TODAY'S GAIN: -$40,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE... The opposite of good :(

I was a little too cocky from my gain last week. I wasn't reading the price action well. And to top it all off, I was too slow in letting go of my losers. As you can imagine when you put all of these ingredients together, it makes a pretty horrible tendie dish. 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BULLISH signal, 3/5 strength, was generated at 10:20am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!

SPY Return: +$15 (+100%) per $85 signal cost

QQQ Return: +$8 (+100%) per $92 signal cost

Total Return: +$23 (+100%) -- This could easily be scaled per $177 signal cost

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 30 SPX 5125 Puts (Degen Yolo)Even though this trade was a huge loss, I don't hate it. I waited for a smalled timeframe reversion to once againg align with the overall trend. The entry doesn't bother me at all. I ended up being early, which is going to happen a lot the more you trade. My issue was the oversizing, which prompted me to holder onto this loser longer than I should have. By the time everything settled, my average entry was $17.97/ea, and my average exit was $4.31/ea -- This means my realized loss was $40,970.

 

Trade Two: 4 NDX 18,500 Calls (Revenge Degen Yolo) In an effort to make my loss back quickly, I made to stupid decision to revenge trade. Fortunately, this one didn't cost me anything. I got lucky. My average entry was $130.00/ea, and my average exit was $135.00/ea -- This means my REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,000.

 

Trade Three: 30 x SPX 5200/5195 Put Credit Spread (Scalp Strategy Trade) I'm not sure what in the world I was thinking, but I randomly decided to excute my normal scalp strategy today. It was illogical and clearly cost me. My average entry was $1.50/ea, and my average exit was $2.10/ea -- This means my realized loss was $1,200.

 

Trade Four: 6 NDX 17,000 Puts (Reasonable Trend Swing Trade)I'm a fan of this trade, but it has not been closed out. It's up to the Market Gods if I make money or not. Godspeed.

 

Trade One Return: -$40,970

Trade Two Return: +$2,000

Trade Three Return: -$1,200

Trade Four Return: Unknown

Total Return: -$40,170 (before fees)

 


 

How To Join The Goonie Discord (For FREE)

Join the Goonie Discord if you want access to any of the following:

  • My Live Trades & Thoughts
  • Weekly Teaching Sessions
  • Weekly Newsletter
  • Trading Competitions
  • Texas Roadhouse Talk

Remember you can join the Discord for FREE with the code GOONIE (Click Here!). This code will allow to become a Locals "supporter". Supporters get full access to the entire Locals Community & Goonie Discord server.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
(Allow up to 24hrs to process after you've become a "supporter". If you have any issues, don't hesitate to reach out -- Feel free to DM on Discord or Twitter.)

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It's all going down THIS FRIDAY!!!

The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
All you need to do is be where you normally watch me at 10am ET!

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Goodbye May, Hello June! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (June 1st - 5th)

Goodbye May, Hello June!

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +1.43%
  • Nasdaq 100: +2.89%
  • Russel 2000: +1.91%
  • Bitcoin: -2.52%

Last week, stocks came back from the Memorial Day break with momentum and never really looked back. The S&P 500 gained 1.4% for the shortened week, the Nasdaq jumped 2.9%, and the Dow added 0.9%, with the S&P notching its ninth straight winning week. The big driver was still AI, helped by a monster Dell report that sent the stock up more than 30% after strong AI server demand and an upbeat outlook.

On the economy, the data was mixed but not enough to break the rally. Consumer confidence slipped, Q1 GDP was revised down to 1.6%, and April PCE showed inflation still running hotter than the Fed would like, even as consumer spending held up. Markets also got help from falling oil prices as headlines pointed to progress on a potential U.S.-Iran deal, with Trump-related peace talk optimism easing some of the inflation anxiety tied to the Middle East.

Looking ahead to next week, things get much more serious on the macro front. The calendar includes ISM Manufacturing on Monday, JOLTS on Tuesday, ISM Services and factory orders on Wednesday, and the May jobs report on Friday. Earnings attention shifts to Broadcom as the next major AI/semi read-through, while traders will keep watching oil, Treasury yields, and any new Trump-Iran headlines for signs that this rally still has room to run. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Trading Discord is LIVE!!! (https://bit.ly/GoonieDiscord)

 


 

Earnings


Monday, June 1st

None 

Tuesday, June 2nd

Morning: Dollar General

Evening: GitLab, Palo Alto Networks & Ulta Beauty

Wednesday, June 3rd

Evening: Broadcom, C3.AI & CrowdStrike

Thursday, June 4th

Evening: Docusign & Lululemon

Friday, June 5th

None

 


 

Market Events

Monday, June 1st

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (May)

 

Tuesday, June 2nd

10:00 AM ET    JOLTs Job Openings (Apr)

 

Wednesday, June 3rd

08:15 AM ET    ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (May)

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Services PMI (May)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (May)

 

Thursday, June 4th

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claim

 

Friday, June 5th

08:30 AM ET    Unemployment Rate (May)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, June 1st)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 75%
  • Profit Factor: 1.84
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, June 2nd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 82%
  • Profit Factor: 19.47
  • Bias: Very Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, June 3rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46%
  • Profit Factor: 0.95
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, June 4th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 54%
  • Profit Factor: 1.52
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, June 5th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 61%
  • Profit Factor: 2.14
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 8 times (18 for 18 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join me today!!! Click Here!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 19 Trades

May Record: 44/46 Units

 

Monday, May 25th

No Signal Produced -- Memorial Day

 

Tuesday, May 26th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $748 / $747) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $723 / $722) 🟢

 

Wednesday, May 27th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $753 / $754) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $732 / $733) 🟢

 

Thursday, May 28th

SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $749 / $748) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $726 / $725) 🟢

 

Friday, May 29th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $754 / $753) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $734 / $733) 🟢

 


 

Hours Slept

0.3 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report || TGIF!!!
Friday, May 29th

TGIF!

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord.

You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$52

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:30am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed.Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$26 (+100%) per $174 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$26 (+100%) per $174 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$52 (+100%) per $348 signal capital requirement

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report || More Record Highs!
Thursday, May 28th

More Record Highs!

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord.

You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$36

A BULLISH signal, 5/5 strength, was generated around 11:15am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed.Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$18 (+100%) per $282 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$18 (+100%) per $282 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$36 (+100%) per $564 signal capital requirement

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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