Matt Kohrs
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Pure Market Chaos
Monday, August 5th
August 05, 2024
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Pure Market Chaos

TODAY'S GAIN: -$40,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE... The opposite of good :(

I was a little too cocky from my gain last week. I wasn't reading the price action well. And to top it all off, I was too slow in letting go of my losers. As you can imagine when you put all of these ingredients together, it makes a pretty horrible tendie dish. 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BULLISH signal, 3/5 strength, was generated at 10:20am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!

SPY Return: +$15 (+100%) per $85 signal cost

QQQ Return: +$8 (+100%) per $92 signal cost

Total Return: +$23 (+100%) -- This could easily be scaled per $177 signal cost

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 30 SPX 5125 Puts (Degen Yolo)Even though this trade was a huge loss, I don't hate it. I waited for a smalled timeframe reversion to once againg align with the overall trend. The entry doesn't bother me at all. I ended up being early, which is going to happen a lot the more you trade. My issue was the oversizing, which prompted me to holder onto this loser longer than I should have. By the time everything settled, my average entry was $17.97/ea, and my average exit was $4.31/ea -- This means my realized loss was $40,970.

 

Trade Two: 4 NDX 18,500 Calls (Revenge Degen Yolo) In an effort to make my loss back quickly, I made to stupid decision to revenge trade. Fortunately, this one didn't cost me anything. I got lucky. My average entry was $130.00/ea, and my average exit was $135.00/ea -- This means my REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,000.

 

Trade Three: 30 x SPX 5200/5195 Put Credit Spread (Scalp Strategy Trade) I'm not sure what in the world I was thinking, but I randomly decided to excute my normal scalp strategy today. It was illogical and clearly cost me. My average entry was $1.50/ea, and my average exit was $2.10/ea -- This means my realized loss was $1,200.

 

Trade Four: 6 NDX 17,000 Puts (Reasonable Trend Swing Trade)I'm a fan of this trade, but it has not been closed out. It's up to the Market Gods if I make money or not. Godspeed.

 

Trade One Return: -$40,970

Trade Two Return: +$2,000

Trade Three Return: -$1,200

Trade Four Return: Unknown

Total Return: -$40,170 (before fees)

 


 

How To Join The Goonie Discord (For FREE)

Join the Goonie Discord if you want access to any of the following:

  • My Live Trades & Thoughts
  • Weekly Teaching Sessions
  • Weekly Newsletter
  • Trading Competitions
  • Texas Roadhouse Talk

Remember you can join the Discord for FREE with the code GOONIE (Click Here!). This code will allow to become a Locals "supporter". Supporters get full access to the entire Locals Community & Goonie Discord server.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
(Allow up to 24hrs to process after you've become a "supporter". If you have any issues, don't hesitate to reach out -- Feel free to DM on Discord or Twitter.)

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The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

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'MURICA!!! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (July 6th - July 10th)

'MURICA!!!

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +1.76%
  • Nasdaq 100: +0.72%
  • Russel 2000: +0.18%
  • Bitcoin: +4.20%

Last week, stocks kept the summer rally alive in the holiday-shortened week, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow pushing higher while small and mid caps lagged. The week started with a tech-led bounce, helped by AI enthusiasm, deal activity, and Alphabet joining the Dow. By Thursday, softer labor data helped keep rate anxiety contained, and the Dow hit another record close before markets shut Friday, July 3, for Independence Day.

The economic calendar was light but important. May JOLTS showed job openings holding near 7.6 million, ISM manufacturing stayed in expansion at 53.3, and S&P Global’s final manufacturing PMI cooled to 53.9. The big one was Thursday’s June jobs report: payrolls rose just 57,000, with prior months revised lower, reinforcing the “cooling but not cracking” labor-market narrative. On the geopolitical front, Trump and Iran remained in focus after both sides moved toward halting attacks and restarting talks, helping calm some oil-risk fears. In company news, Tesla beat Q2 delivery expectations but still sold off, while Comcast’s planned NBCUniversal/Sky spinoff and broader deal chatter helped sentiment.

Looking ahead to next week, the calendar picks back up but does not include CPI or PPI yet. Monday brings S&P Global’s final services PMI and ISM Services for June. Tuesday has the May trade balance. Wednesday brings May wholesale inventories, the minutes from the June FOMC meeting, and May consumer credit. Thursday has weekly jobless claims and June existing home sales. Earnings are still early-cycle, but PepsiCo, Levi Strauss, WD-40, and Delta Air Lines are the names to watch before the bigger bank reports begin the following week. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Trading Discord is LIVE!!! (https://bit.ly/GoonieDiscord)

 


 

Earnings

 


 

Market Events

Monday, July 6th

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Services PMI (Jun)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Jun)

 

Tuesday, July 7th

None

 

Wednesday, July 8th

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

01:00 PM ET    10-Year Note Auction

02:00 PM ET    FOMC Meeting Minutes

 

Thursday, July 9th

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claim

10:00 AM ET    Existing Home Sales (Jun)

01:00 PM ET    30-Year Bond Auction

 

Friday, July 10th

None

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, July 6th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 45%
  • Profit Factor: 0.75
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, July 7th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 55%
  • Profit Factor: 1.87
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, July 8th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 59%
  • Profit Factor: 0.92
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, July 9th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 55%
  • Profit Factor: 1.89
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, July 10th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 41%
  • Profit Factor: 0.37
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 8 times (16 for 16 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join me today!!! Click Here!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 16 Trades

June Record: 50/54 Units

July Record: 8/8 Units

 

Monday, June 29th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $732 / $731) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $705 / $704) 🟢

 

Tuesday, June 30th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $740 / $739) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $723 / $722) 🟢

 

Wednesday, July 1st

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $742 / $741) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $725 / $724) 🟢

 

Thursday, July 2nd

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $752 / $753) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $731 / $732) 🟢

 

Friday, July 3rd

No Signal Produced -- Market Closed

 


 

America Birthdays

250 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report || TGIF(T)!!!
Thursday, July 2nd

AMERICA!!!

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord.

You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$16

A BEARISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:15am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed.Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$10 (+100%) per $190 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$6 (+100%) per $194 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$16 (+100%) per $384 signal capital requirement

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Happy July!
Wednesday, July 1st

Happy July!

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord.

You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$28

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:20am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed.Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$8 (+100%) per $192 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$20 (+100%) per $180 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$28 (+100%) per $372 signal capital requirement

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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