Matt Kohrs
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Pure Market Chaos
Monday, August 5th
August 05, 2024
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Pure Market Chaos

TODAY'S GAIN: -$40,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE... The opposite of good :(

I was a little too cocky from my gain last week. I wasn't reading the price action well. And to top it all off, I was too slow in letting go of my losers. As you can imagine when you put all of these ingredients together, it makes a pretty horrible tendie dish. 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BULLISH signal, 3/5 strength, was generated at 10:20am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!

SPY Return: +$15 (+100%) per $85 signal cost

QQQ Return: +$8 (+100%) per $92 signal cost

Total Return: +$23 (+100%) -- This could easily be scaled per $177 signal cost

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 30 SPX 5125 Puts (Degen Yolo)Even though this trade was a huge loss, I don't hate it. I waited for a smalled timeframe reversion to once againg align with the overall trend. The entry doesn't bother me at all. I ended up being early, which is going to happen a lot the more you trade. My issue was the oversizing, which prompted me to holder onto this loser longer than I should have. By the time everything settled, my average entry was $17.97/ea, and my average exit was $4.31/ea -- This means my realized loss was $40,970.

 

Trade Two: 4 NDX 18,500 Calls (Revenge Degen Yolo) In an effort to make my loss back quickly, I made to stupid decision to revenge trade. Fortunately, this one didn't cost me anything. I got lucky. My average entry was $130.00/ea, and my average exit was $135.00/ea -- This means my REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,000.

 

Trade Three: 30 x SPX 5200/5195 Put Credit Spread (Scalp Strategy Trade) I'm not sure what in the world I was thinking, but I randomly decided to excute my normal scalp strategy today. It was illogical and clearly cost me. My average entry was $1.50/ea, and my average exit was $2.10/ea -- This means my realized loss was $1,200.

 

Trade Four: 6 NDX 17,000 Puts (Reasonable Trend Swing Trade)I'm a fan of this trade, but it has not been closed out. It's up to the Market Gods if I make money or not. Godspeed.

 

Trade One Return: -$40,970

Trade Two Return: +$2,000

Trade Three Return: -$1,200

Trade Four Return: Unknown

Total Return: -$40,170 (before fees)

 


 

How To Join The Goonie Discord (For FREE)

Join the Goonie Discord if you want access to any of the following:

  • My Live Trades & Thoughts
  • Weekly Teaching Sessions
  • Weekly Newsletter
  • Trading Competitions
  • Texas Roadhouse Talk

Remember you can join the Discord for FREE with the code GOONIE (Click Here!). This code will allow to become a Locals "supporter". Supporters get full access to the entire Locals Community & Goonie Discord server.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
(Allow up to 24hrs to process after you've become a "supporter". If you have any issues, don't hesitate to reach out -- Feel free to DM on Discord or Twitter.)

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FREE Options Trading Lecture This Friday @ 10am ET

It's all going down THIS FRIDAY!!!

The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
All you need to do is be where you normally watch me at 10am ET!

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You Stay Classy, Record Highs! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (April 27th - May 1st)

You Stay Classy, Record Highs!

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +0.55
  • Nasdaq 100: +2.37% 
  • Russel 2000: +0.29%
  • Bitcoin: +0.47%

Last week, tech stocks grabbed the wheel and didn’t really let go. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushed into fresh record highs by Friday, fueled by continued strength in semis and AI names. It wasn’t a broad melt-up though. The Dow lagged a bit, so this felt more like targeted buying than a full-on risk-on frenzy. Still, the tone was undeniably bullish. Every dip kept getting bought and momentum traders had a field day.

On the macro side, things looked steady but not exactly calm. Jobless claims stayed relatively low, which keeps the labor market story intact, while the S&P Global flash PMI showed the economy still expanding but with some underlying inflation pressure creeping back in. That inflation angle tied into geopolitics as well. There were fresh headlines around U.S. sanctions connected to Iranian oil and ongoing tension in the region, which kept energy markets on edge. Trump also stayed in the mix with continued rhetoric tied to foreign policy and trade, which the market is clearly starting to pay more attention to again as election season heats up.

Looking ahead to next week, the calendar is stacked with events that can actually move things. Consumer Confidence hits Tuesday, then all eyes shift to the FOMC decision on Wednesday. Thursday is the big macro day with Q1 GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, PCE, along with personal income and spending data. Durable goods and housing data also land midweek. Then Friday wraps it up with ISM Manufacturing. No market holidays, so it is a full week of potential catalysts. After a run to new highs, this is the kind of setup where volatility can easily creep back in if anything comes in off script.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! 

https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup

 


 

Earnings

Monday, Apr 27th

Morning: Verizon

Tuesday, Apr 28th

Morning: Coca Cola, GM, Spotify & UPS

Evening: Robinhood & Visa

Wednesday, Apr 29th

Morning: SoFi

Evening: Alphabet, Amazon, Chipotle, Meta, Microsoft & Qualcomm

Thursday, Apr 30th

Morning: Caterpillar, Lilly & Mastercard

Evening: Apple & Reddit

Friday, May 1st

Morning: Chevron, Exxon Mobile & Moderna

 


 

Market Events

Monday, Apr 27th

None

 

Tuesday, Apr 28th

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Confidence (Apr)

 

Wednesday, Apr 29th

10:00 AM ET    Durable Goods MoM & YoY (Mar)

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

02:00 PM ET    Fed Interest Rate Decision

02:30 PM ET    FOMC Press Conference

 

Thursday, Apr 30th

08:30 AM ET    GDP QoQ (Q1)

08:30 AM ET    PCE Price Index MoM & YoY (Mar)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claim

09:45 AM ET    Chicago PMI (Apr)

 

Friday, May 1st

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Apr)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Apr)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Apr 27th)

    • Bull Win Percentage: 56%
    • Profit Factor: 2.07
    • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Apr 28th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 52%
  • Profit Factor: 1.10
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Apr 29th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 41%
  • Profit Factor: 0.46
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Apr 30th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 75%
  • Profit Factor: 0.84
  • Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, May 1st)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 64%
  • Profit Factor: 1.55
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 6 for 8 times (10 for 14 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~75%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for TODAY (Click Here!)!!!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 0 Trades

April Record: 34/46 Units

 

Monday, Apr 20th

SPY Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $711 / $712) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $650 / $651) 🟢

 

Tuesday, Apr 21st

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $712 / $713) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $651 / $652) 🟢

 

Wednesday, Apr 22nd

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $707 / $706) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $648 / $647) 🟢

 

Thursday, Apr 23rd

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $709 / $708) 🔴 

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $652 / $651) 🔴

 

Friday, Apr 24th

No Signal Produced

 


 

Tilt Count

1 (Low, but it was really bad)*

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$1,000) || April Ends With A BANG!!!
Thursday, April 30th

April Ends With A BANG!!!

THICC RETURN: +$1,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES PAID -- Today's trades would have paid for AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$48

A BULLISH signal, 5/5 strength, was generated around 11:30am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed. Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!

SPY Return: +$24 (+100%) per $276 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$24 (+100%) per $276 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$48 (+100%) per $552 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 20 SPX 7,120/7,100 Put Credit SpreadsThese PCS's were sold at $0.80/ea and were bought back at $0.30/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,000!!!

 

Trade One Return: +$1,000

Total Return: +$1,000 (before fees)

These trades alone would have paid for AN ENTIRE YEAR OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

 

Thicc Matt's Futures Trades

TOTAL RETURN: +$86,943.56

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Fed Interest Rate Decision
Wednesday, April 29th

Fed Interest Rate Decision

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

No Signal Produced

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

No Trades Taken

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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