Matt Kohrs
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Pure Market Chaos
Monday, August 5th
August 05, 2024
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Pure Market Chaos

TODAY'S GAIN: -$40,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE... The opposite of good :(

I was a little too cocky from my gain last week. I wasn't reading the price action well. And to top it all off, I was too slow in letting go of my losers. As you can imagine when you put all of these ingredients together, it makes a pretty horrible tendie dish. 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BULLISH signal, 3/5 strength, was generated at 10:20am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 2 total units!

SPY Return: +$15 (+100%) per $85 signal cost

QQQ Return: +$8 (+100%) per $92 signal cost

Total Return: +$23 (+100%) -- This could easily be scaled per $177 signal cost

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 30 SPX 5125 Puts (Degen Yolo)Even though this trade was a huge loss, I don't hate it. I waited for a smalled timeframe reversion to once againg align with the overall trend. The entry doesn't bother me at all. I ended up being early, which is going to happen a lot the more you trade. My issue was the oversizing, which prompted me to holder onto this loser longer than I should have. By the time everything settled, my average entry was $17.97/ea, and my average exit was $4.31/ea -- This means my realized loss was $40,970.

 

Trade Two: 4 NDX 18,500 Calls (Revenge Degen Yolo) In an effort to make my loss back quickly, I made to stupid decision to revenge trade. Fortunately, this one didn't cost me anything. I got lucky. My average entry was $130.00/ea, and my average exit was $135.00/ea -- This means my REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,000.

 

Trade Three: 30 x SPX 5200/5195 Put Credit Spread (Scalp Strategy Trade) I'm not sure what in the world I was thinking, but I randomly decided to excute my normal scalp strategy today. It was illogical and clearly cost me. My average entry was $1.50/ea, and my average exit was $2.10/ea -- This means my realized loss was $1,200.

 

Trade Four: 6 NDX 17,000 Puts (Reasonable Trend Swing Trade)I'm a fan of this trade, but it has not been closed out. It's up to the Market Gods if I make money or not. Godspeed.

 

Trade One Return: -$40,970

Trade Two Return: +$2,000

Trade Three Return: -$1,200

Trade Four Return: Unknown

Total Return: -$40,170 (before fees)

 


 

How To Join The Goonie Discord (For FREE)

Join the Goonie Discord if you want access to any of the following:

  • My Live Trades & Thoughts
  • Weekly Teaching Sessions
  • Weekly Newsletter
  • Trading Competitions
  • Texas Roadhouse Talk

Remember you can join the Discord for FREE with the code GOONIE (Click Here!). This code will allow to become a Locals "supporter". Supporters get full access to the entire Locals Community & Goonie Discord server.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
(Allow up to 24hrs to process after you've become a "supporter". If you have any issues, don't hesitate to reach out -- Feel free to DM on Discord or Twitter.)

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The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
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Hello, August! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (August 3rd - 7th)

Hello, August!

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +1.05%
  • Nasdaq 100: +0.52%
  • Russel 2000: -0.40%
  • Bitcoin: -1.96%

Last week, Wall Street took the scenic route higher. SPX gained 1.0%, NDX added 0.5%, and RTY finished essentially flat after a sharp Fed-day selloff gave way to a two-day rebound. Amazon jumped nearly 16% Friday after strong cloud results helped calm AI-spending fears, while Apple sank about 7% on a softer outlook. Microsoft’s strong report also helped restart the AI trade, but the week still felt more like a megacap rescue than a clean risk-on breakout.

The economy gave the Fed little reason to relax. Q2 GDP slowed to a 1.5% annualized pace, July consumer confidence slipped to 90.8, and June core PCE rose just 0.1% for the month but remained 3.3% higher than a year ago. The Fed held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% in a 9-3 vote, with all three dissenters wanting a quarter-point hike, while employment costs increased 0.9% in Q2 and 3.4% year over year. Iran added another inflation wildcard: oil fell early as Trump paused strikes for diplomacy, then jumped when fighting resumed and reports surfaced that the U.S. and Israel were considering attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure.

Next week is a full five-day NYSE session, and the calendar is genuinely busy. Monday brings final S&P Global and ISM manufacturing PMIs plus construction spending; Tuesday has June trade, JOLTS and factory orders; Wednesday brings final S&P Global services and composite PMIs plus ISM services; Thursday has preliminary Q2 productivity and unit labor costs plus wholesale trade; and Friday closes with the July jobs report. Earnings worth circling include Palantir Monday after the bell, AMD Tuesday after the bell and Disney Wednesday before the open. As always, stick to your trading plan and respect your risk.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Trading Discord is LIVE!!! (https://bit.ly/GoonieDiscord)

 


 

Earnings

Monday, August 3rd

Evening: Palantir & Snap

Tuesday, August 4th

Morning: Caterpillar, McDonald's & Pfizer

Evening: AMD & SpaceX

Wednesday, August 5th

Morning: Disney, Riot, Shopify & Uber

Evening: Sandisk & Wester Digital

Thursday, August 6th

Morning: D Wave

Evening: Airbnb, Draft Kings & Rigetti

Friday, July 7th

Morning: Wendy's

 


 

Market Events

Monday, August 3rd

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Jul)

 

Tuesday, August 4th

10:00 AM ET    JOLTs Job Openings (Jun)

 

Wednesday, August 5th

08:15 AM ET    ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jul)

09:45 AM ET    S&P Global Services PMI (Jul)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Jul)

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

 

Thursday, August 6th

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

 

Friday, July 7th

08:30 AM ET    Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul)

08:30 AM ET    Unemployment Rate (Jul)

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, August 3rd)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 36%
  • Profit Factor: 0.28
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, August 4th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46%
  • Profit Factor: 0.64
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, August 5th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46%
  • Profit Factor: 0.48
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, July 6th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 57%
  • Profit Factor: 1.91
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, August 7th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 46%
  • Profit Factor: 1.30
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 5 for 6 times (10 for 12 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~83%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join me today!!! Click Here!

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 3 Trades

July Record: 56/64 Units

 

Monday, July 27th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $746 / $747) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $693 / $694) 🟢

 

Tuesday, July 28th

No Signal Produced

 

Wednesday, July 29th

No Signal Produced

 

Thursday, July 30th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $740 / $741) 🔴 

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $685 / $686) 🟢

 

Friday, July 31st

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $737 / $736) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $679 / $678) 🟢

 


 

Hedge Funds Bodied By Citadel

1 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$0) || TGIF!
Friday, July 31st

TGIF!

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: +$56

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:50am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades missed.Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$20 (+100%) per $180 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$36 (+100%) per $164 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$56 (+100%) per $344 signal capital requirement

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$0) || The Day After
Thursday, July 30th

The Day After

THICC RETURN: +$0

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can start trading with me today! (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

PIPER'S RETURN: -$138

A BEARISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:25am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).SPY Missed & QQQ Hit

SPY Return: -$174 per $174 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$36 (+100%) per $164 signal capital requirement

Total Return: -$138 (+100%) per $338 signal capital requirement

 

You can trade with me by joining the Goonie Discord today! (Click Here!)


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Read full Article
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