Matt Kohrs
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All Aboard! || Goonie Newsletter
Goonie Newsletter (August 26th - August 30th)
August 25, 2024
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All Aboard!

Fellow Traveler,

The stock market ripped higher last week and looks like it wants more! The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russel 2000, and Bitcoin all posted solid gains. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq extended their winning streaks to eight consecutive sessions, marking their longest streaks of 2024. The gains were fueled by broad-based gains across sectors, namely technology and consumer discretion stocks.

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

  • S&P 500: +1.41% 
  • Nasdaq 100: +1.05% 
  • Russel 2000: +3.66%
  • Bitcoin: +8.83%

The big news of the week was related to the Fed and Daddy Powell. Chair Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium was the major focal point. He stated that "the time has come for policy to adjust," indicating the Fed will cut interest rates starting in September. Markets are pricing in a high probability of a 0.25% on September 18th.

It should also be noted that there was a steep downward revision in payrolls, which suggested a cooling labor market. I would bet that this influenced the Fed's decision towards dovish monetary policy. Additionally, The University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index for August was higher than expected. This means there is a more optimistic outlook among consumers.

The market is loving to the possibility of a "soft landing" for the economy. This idea was bolstered by various positive economic reports and optimism heading into Nvidia's earning announcement and various inflation reports -- Details are posted below. As always, keep your risk in control, trade with the trend, and stick to your trading plan. Godspeed.

 

Until Next Time,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

 


 

Market Events

Monday, August 26th

08:30 AM ET    Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jul)

02:00 PM ET    San Francisco Fed President Daly Speech

 

Tuesday, August 27th

10:00 AM ET    CB Consumer Confidence (Aug)

01:00 PM ET    2-Year Bond Auction

 

Wednesday, August 28th

10:30 AM ET    Crude Oil Inventories

01:00 PM ET    5-Year Bond Auction

06:00 PM ET    Atlanta Fed President Bostic Speech

 

Thursday, August 29th

08:30 AM ET    GDP (QoQ) (Q2)

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

01:00 PM ET    7-Year Bond Auction

03:30 PM ET    Atlanta Fed President Bostic Speech

 

Friday, August 30th

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI (Aug)

08:30 AM ET    PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jul)

08:30 AM ET    PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jul)

08:30 AM ET    Personal Spending

08:30 AM ET    Personal Income

09:45 AM ET    Chicago PMI (Aug)

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment

 


 

Upcoming Earnings

Monday, August 26th

None

Tuesday, August 27th

None

Wednesday, August 28th

Morning: Chewy

Evening: Affirm, CrowdStrike, Nvidia & Salesforce

Thursday, August 29th

Morning: Best Buy & Dollar General

Evening: Dell, Lululemon & Ulta

Friday, August 30th

None

 


 

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, August 26th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 80%
  • Profit Factor: 8.56
  • Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, August 27th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 36%
  • Profit Factor: 0.72
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, August 28th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 56%
  • Profit Factor: 0.66
  • Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, August 29th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 52%
  • Profit Factor: 1.03
  • Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

 

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, August 30th)

  • Bull Win Percentage: 32%
  • Profit Factor: 0.50
  • Bias: Bearish

Equity Curve -->

 

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.


 

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 8 times (12 for 12 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~100%

Even with this week's price action being crazy, Piper continually proves why she is top dog. I hope she is helping you in your money make adventures. 

 

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 22 Trades

August Record: 56/60 Units

 

Monday, August 19th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $554 / $553)  🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $472 / $471)  🟢

 

Tuesday, August 20th

SPY Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $561 / $562)  🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $483 / $484)  🟢

 

Wednesday, August 21st

No Signal(s) Generated

 

Thursday, August 22nd

SPY Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $563 / $564)  🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $485 / $486)  🟢

 

Friday, August 23rd

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $558 / $557)  🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $477 / $476)  🟢

 


 

Times Daddy Powell F'd My Positions

4 (Very painful)*

This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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It's all going down THIS FRIDAY!!!

The team at SpotGamma will be joining the MK Show to discuss various options trading strategies. (Yes, it will include 0 DTEs for you degens).

This is 100% FREE options trading education.
All you need to do is be where you normally watch me at 10am ET!

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Welcome! Read This To Get Into The Goonie Trading Discord!!!

If you're having any issues getting connected to the Goonie Discord, don't hesitate to reach out to me. (IT CAN TAKE UP TO 24 HOURS FOR YOUR ACCOUNT TO PROCESS)

DMing me on Discord would be the most efficient (@mmk147) or you could email me at: [email protected]

Use the code GOONIE to switch from a Local's Member to a Local's Support for FREE to get premium access.

Discord Link: https://discord.gg/3dxBRVrgGG
PRO TIP: Make sure you are logged into the correct Discord account when you sync your two accounts.

February 21, 2025
PAYDAY FRIDAY GIVEAWAY!!! (Feb. 21st)

It's Payday Friday, baby!

Today you could possibly win BOTH cold hard cash AND a Vanquish prop trading account. On top of giving away three $10k prop accounts, you can utilize code GOONIE to save 15% & get 1 FREE reset.

If you want a chance at winning $150 and/or a Vanquish Trader options account simply do the following -->
Post your Twitter, IG or Email in a comment below & register an account on Vanquish.

The drawing will happen on stream today around 10:30am ET!

The giveaway is sponsored by Vanquish Trader. Three $10k accounts will be given away. Show them a bit of love -- Don't forget to register on their website!

Vanquish Trader (Options Prop Trading): https://bit.ly/VanquishMK
Use code GOONIE to save 15% & get 1 FREE reset.

No duplicate entries. You will be disqualified.

February 07, 2025
PAYDAY FRIDAY GIVEAWAY!!! (Feb. 7th)

New month, new payday Friday!!!

Today you could possibly win BOTH cold hard cash AND a Vanquish prop trading account.

On top of giving away three $10k prop accounts, you can utilize code GOONIE to save 35% & get 1 FREE reset.

If you want a chance at winning $150 and/or a Vanquish Trader options account simply do the following -->
Post your Twitter, IG or Email in a comment below & register an account on Vanquish.

The drawing will happen on stream today around 10:30am ET!

The giveaway is sponsored by Vanquish Trader. Three $10k accounts will be given away. Show them a bit of love -- Don't forget to register on their website!

Vanquish Trader (Options Prop Trading): https://bit.ly/VanquishMK
Use code GOONIE to save 35% & get 1 FREE reset.

No duplicate entries. You will be disqualified.

February 21, 2025
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Daily Degen Trade Report (+$40,000) || Trade With Me For FREE!
Friday, February 21st

TGIF!

TODAY'S GAIN: +$40,000

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES DIDN'T EXIST (AGAIN) -- I was too busy buying options to follow Piper.

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BEARISH signal, 5/5 strength, was generated around 10:25am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!

SPY Return: +$15 (+100%) per $285 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$24 (+100%) per $276 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$39 (+100%) per $561 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

No premium sold today, but the swing plays crushed!!!

P.S. You can follow all of these trades in the discord!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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February 21, 2025
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Join The Goonie Trading Discord For FREE!
Thursday, February 20th

Bloody Thursday

TODAY'S GAIN: +$0

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES DIDN'T EXIST -- Due to the early morning vomit, there was no premium I was really interested in selling.

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BEARISH signal, 5/5 strength, was generated around 10:15am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!

SPY Return: +$33 (+100%) per $267 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$21 (+100%) per $279 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$54 (+100%) per $546 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

No premium sold today

 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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February 19, 2025
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Daily Degen Trade Report || Turnaround... Wednesday?!
Wednesday, February 19th

Turnaround... Wednesday?!

TODAY'S LOSS: -$235

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE... SCRATCH

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 

Piper's Picks

A BEARISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 10:15am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).SPY missed & QQQ hit

SPY Return: -$166 per $180 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$20 (+100%) per $180 signal capital requirement

Total Return: -$146 (+100%) per $360 signal capital requirement

 

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 12 SPX 6,130/6,145 Call Credit Spreads (Piper Strategy) The Trump-China-Trade announcement from the NYT knocked me out of my position. The CCS's were sold at $1.80/ea and I was forced to buy them backl at $4.40 -- This means my realized loss was $3,120 :(

 

Trade Two: 35 SPX 6,115/6,110 Put Credit Spreads (Piper Hedge) The hedge did exactly what hedge plays are meant to do. It balanced me out! These PCS's were sold at $0.85/ea and expired worthless -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,975!

 

Trade One Return: -$3,210

Trade Two Return: +$2,975

Total Return: -$235 (before fees)

 

These trades alone would have paid for MORE THAN TWO YEARS OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

 


 

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

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