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Key Weekly Performance Stats:
- S&P 500: -0.35%
- Nasdaq 100: +0.30%
- Russel 2000: -0.74% (New High)
- Bitcoin: -5.92%
Last week, with markets closed Monday for MLK Day, the rest of the week was dominated by geopolitics. Stocks wobbled after renewed Trump rhetoric around tariffs tied to Europe and Greenland, which briefly spooked global markets and pushed investors toward safer assets. Risk appetite improved later in the week as the immediate tariff threat cooled, but the damage was done. By Friday, major indexes were mixed to slightly lower, and the vibe felt cautious rather than confident.
Economic data took a back seat to the headlines. Weekly jobless claims stayed low, reinforcing a steady labor market, while January flash PMIs pointed to continued but unspectacular growth. Consumer sentiment improved modestly, though leading indicators still suggest a slower patch ahead. Flows told the story. Equity inflows cooled while commodities, especially precious metals, caught a bid as traders hedged political uncertainty.
Looking ahead to next week, it's is all about the Fed. The FOMC meets Tuesday and Wednesday, with the rate decision and press conference Wednesday afternoon. Tuesday also brings Conference Board consumer confidence, Thursday has weekly jobless claims, and Friday rounds things out with PPI. With tariffs, geopolitics, and rates all in play, expect markets to stay jumpy and highly reactive. As always, respect your risk and stick to your trading plan. Godspeed.
Thicc Kohrs
P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)
Earnings
Monday, Jan 26th
None
Tuesday, Jan 27th
Morning: American Airlines, Boeing, UnitedHealth Group & UPS
Evening:
Wednesday, Jan 28th
Morning: ASML, AT&T & Starbucks
Evening: IBM, Lam Research, META, Microsoft & Tesla
Thursday, Jan 29th
Morning: Caterpillar & Mastercard
Evening: Apple & Visa
Friday, Jan 30th
Morning: America Express, Chevron, Exxon Mobile, SoFi & Verizon
Market Events
Monday, Jan 26th
08:30 AM ET Durable Goods MoM & YoY (Nov)
Tuesday, Jan 27th
10:00 AM ET Consumer Confidence (Jan)
Wednesday, Jan 28th
08:30 AM ET President Trump Speaks
02:00 PM ET Fed Interest Rate Decision
02:30 PM ET Fed Chair Powell Press Conference
Thursday, Jan 29th
08:30 AM ET Initial Jobless Claims
Friday, Jan 30th
08:30 AM ET PPI MoM & YoY (Dec)
08:30 AM ET Chicago PMI (Jan)
Seasonality Update
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, Jan 26th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 54%
- Profit Factor: 0.82
- Bias: Leaning Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, Jan 27th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 57%
- Profit Factor: 1.59
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, Jan 28th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 43%
- Profit Factor: 0.88
- Bias: Leaning Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, Jan 29th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 57%
- Profit Factor: 2.13
- Bias: Leaning Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, Jan 30th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 75%
- Profit Factor: 2.33
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past +25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.
Options Strategy Update
The 0 DTE signal hit 6 for 6 times (16 for 16 total units) this past week.
Signal Accuracy: ~100%
Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!
Piper's Current Signal Streak: 9 Trades
January Record: 52/56 Units
Monday, Jan 19th
No Signal Produced -- Market Closed
Tuesday, Jan 20th
No Signal Produced
Wednesday, Jan 21st
SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $678 / $677) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $607 / $606) 🟢
Thursday, Jan 22nd
SPY Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $686 / $685) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $617 / $616) 🟢
Friday, Jan 23rd
SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $686 / $685) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $618 / $617) 🟢
Times I Want To Short United Airlines To $0
6 *
* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.
Notes
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!
These PCS's were sold at $1.30/ea and were bought back at $0.20/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,650!
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 6 total units!
These PCS's were sold at $1.20/ea and were bought back at $0.15/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,100!
