Time To Rock 2025!!!
Hey,
Key Weekly Performance Stats:
- S&P 500: -0.51%
- Nasdaq 100: -0.76%
- Russel 2000: +1.18%
- Bitcoin: +4.21%
Last week, stocks experienced mixed performance amid light holiday trading. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both ended the week with slight losses. Notably, on January 3, major tech stocks led a rally that saw the Nasdaq rise by 1.6% and the S&P 500 by 1.3%, marking their largest single-day gains since November 6.
Recent economic indicators painted a picture of a resilient yet cautious economy. The U.S. manufacturing sector showed unexpected strength, with data surpassing expectations and contributing to positive investor sentiment. However, the labor market exhibited signs of cooling, as jobless claims data highlighted a slowdown in job creation, reflecting the impact of high borrowing costs stemming from the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation.
Looking ahead to next week, we should closely monitor several key economic events. The U.S. is scheduled to release its monthly unemployment report. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes are expected, offering clarity on future monetary policy directions. Active traders should also be attentive to any policy announcements from the incoming Trump administration, particularly regarding trade, economic strategies, and tariffs. As always, stick to your plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.
Best,
Thicc Kohrs
P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)
Earnings
Market Events
Monday, January 6th
09:45 AM ET S&P Global Services PMI (Dec)
Tuesday, January 7th
05:00 AM ET Eurozone CPI (Dec)
08:00 AM ET Richmond Fed President Barkin Speaks
08:30 AM ET Fed Governor Waller Speaks
10:00 AM ET JOLTs Job Openings (Nov)
10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Dec)
01:00 PM ET 10-Year Note Auction
03:05 PM ET New York Fed President Williams Speaks
Wednesday, January 8th
08:15 AM ET ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Dec)
08:30 AM ET Initial Jobless Claims
10:30 AM ET Crude Oil Inventories
11:00 AM ET New York Fed President Williams Speaks
01:00 PM ET 30-Year Bond Auction
01:35 PM ET Fed Governor Bowman Speaks
02:00 PM ET FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday, January 9th
ALL DAY MARKET CLOSED
Friday, January 10th
08:30 AM ET Unemployment Rate (Dec)
Seasonality Update
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, January 6th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 60%
- Profit Factor: 0.99
- Bias: Neutral
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, January 7th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 48%
- Profit Factor: 0.84
- Bias: Leaning Bearish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, January 8th)
- Bull Win Percentage:60%
- Profit Factor: 1.62
- Bias: Bullish
Equity Curve -->
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, January 9th)
- Market Closed All Day
S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, January 10th)
- Bull Win Percentage: 52%
- Profit Factor: 0.75
- Bias: Neutral
Equity Curve -->
Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.
Options Strategy Update
The 0 DTE signal hit 8 for 8 times (18 for 18 total units) this past week.
Signal Accuracy: ~100%
Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!
Piper's Current Signal Streak: 25 Trades
December Record: 67/73 Units
January Record: 10/10 Units
Monday, December 30th
SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $589 / $590) 🟢
QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $516 / $517) 🟢
Tuesday, December 31st
SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $592 / $593) 🟢
QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $519 / $520) 🟢
Wednesday, January 1st
No Signal -- Happy New Year!!!
Thursday, January 2nd
SPY Call Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $592 / $593) 🟢
QQQ Call Credit Spread (3x Multiple @ $517 / $518) 🟢
Friday, January 3rd
SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $586 / $585) 🟢
QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $512 / $511) 🟢
Days of Dry January Survived
5 *
* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.
Notes
RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
One trade hit & the other missed :(
If watched today's show, you know it wasn't an easy day for me. I was very clearly titled. However, I also got very lucky because I was eventually paid. I sold PCS's at $1.00/ea and they expired worthless -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $3,000!
Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!
This trade was one of my classic setups. The market dropped, Piper fired a bearish signal, I sold puts. These PCS's were sold at $0.50/ea and expired worthless -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,500!
Working on a new trading strategy. These PCS's were sold at $0.65/ea and expired worthless -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $650!
