Welcome To February!

Hey,

Key Weekly Performance Stats:

• S&P 500: -0.98%
• Nasdaq 100: -1.39% 
• Russel 2000: -0.97%
• Bitcoin: -2.33%

Last week, major technology companies reported their quarterly earnings. Microsoft announced a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue, totaling $69.63 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. Meta Platforms also exceeded forecasts, reporting earnings per share of $8.02 and a 21% rise in sales to $48.4 billion. Tesla's results were bolstered by its energy division, contributing to a 4.7% increase in its stock price. Apple reported record revenue of $124.3 billion, with earnings per share of $2.40, though iPhone sales experienced a slight decline.

Despite these positive earnings reports, the stock market faced significant challenges during the week. The unveiling of China's AI startup DeepSeek's R1 model, which offers advanced reasoning capabilities at a lower cost, led to a substantial sell-off in major tech stocks. Nvidia's stock dropped nearly 18%, and other tech giants like Microsoft, Palantir, and Alphabet also experienced declines.

Looking ahead, you should monitor several key economic indicators. On Monday, ISM will release its PMI for January, providing insights into the health of the manufacturing sector. Additionally, BLS is scheduled to release the January employment report on Friday. These updates will be crucial for assessing the economy's trajectory and potential implications for monetary policy. The most impactful news will be related to any escalation of the newly announced trade war. The situation is very much fluid -- Have your notifications on! As always, stock to your trading plan and respect your risk. Godspeed.

Best,

Thicc Kohrs

P.S. The official Goonie Discord is live! (FREE Access w/ code GOONIE: https://bit.ly/GoonieGroup)

Earnings

Monday, February 3rd

Evening: Palantir

Tuesday, February 4th

Morning: PayPal, PepsiCo, Pfizer & Spotify

Evening: Alphabet (Google), AMD, Chipotle & Snap

Wednesday, February 5th

Morning: Disney & Uber

Evening: ARM, Ford & Qualcomm

Thursday, February 6th

Morning: Peloton & Roblox

Evening: Affirm, Amazon

Friday, February 7th

Morning: Canopy Growth

Market Events

Monday, February 3rd

05:00 AM ET    Eurozone CPI YoY & MoM (Jan)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Jan)

Tuesday, February 4th

10:00 AM ET    JOLTs Job Openings (Dec)

02:00 PM ET    San Francisco Fed President Daly Speaks

Wednesday, February 5th

08:15 AM ET    ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jan)

10:00 AM ET    ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Jan)

01:00 PM ET    Chicago Fed President Goolsbee Speaks

Thursday, February 6th

08:30 AM ET    Initial Jobless Claims

Friday, February 7th

08:30 AM ET    Unemployment Rate (Jan)

10:00 AM ET    Consumer Sentiment (Jan)

03:00 PM ET    Consumer Credit (Dec)

Seasonality Update

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Monday, February 3rd)

• Bull Win Percentage: 74%
• Profit Factor: 5.91
• Bias: Bullish

Equity Curve -->

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Tuesday, February 4th)

• Bull Win Percentage: 56%
• Profit Factor: 1.31
• Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Wednesday, February 5th)

• Bull Win Percentage: 41%
• Profit Factor: 0.44
• Bias: Leaning Bearish

Equity Curve -->

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Thursday, February 6th)

• Bull Win Percentage: 44%
• Profit Factor: 1.57
• Bias: Leaning Bullish

Equity Curve -->

S&P 500 Seasonal Bias (Friday, February 7th)

• Bull Win Percentage: 44%
• Profit Factor: 1.22
• Bias: Neutral

Equity Curve -->

Notes: These analytics are derived from the performance of the S&P 500 futures contract over the past 25 years. Additionally, results are computed from the futures market open and close.

Options Strategy Update

The 0 DTE signal hit 6 for 8 times (10 for 14 total units) this past week.

Signal Accuracy: ~75%

Note: These signals are posted in real-time in the Goonie Trading Discord. You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)!!!

Piper's Current Signal Streak: 0 Trades

January Record: 50/58 Units

Monday, January 27th

SPY Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $594/ $593) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (1x Multiple @ $510 / $509) 🟢 

Tuesday, January 28th

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $597/ $596) 🟢

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $511 / $510) 🟢 

Wednesday, January 29th

No signal produced -- FOMC Day

Thursday, January 30th

SPY Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $606/ $607) 🟢

QQQ Call Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $526 / $527) 🟢 

Friday, January 31st

SPY Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $607/ $606) 🔴

QQQ Put Credit Spread (2x Multiple @ $526 / $525) 🔴

Days of Dry January Survived

31 *

* This data point is from readings over the past week. The reported information should not be taken as an aggregate or cumulative value for any period beyond the most recent week (Sunday through Saturday). Appropriate alterations were made to account for both travel and time zone shifts.

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Getting Paid!

TODAY'S GAIN: +$1,400

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES CRUSHED -- Today's trades would have paid for MORE THAN TWO YEARS OF GOONIE MEMBERSHIP!

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

Piper's Picks

A BULLISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 11:30am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these trades hit if held until close -- 4 total units!

SPY Return: +$14 (+100%) per $186 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: +$20 (+100%) per $180 signal capital requirement

Total Return: +$34 (+100%) per $366 signal capital requirement

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 20 SPX 5,995/5,985 Put Credit Spreads (Piper Signal) The openings session was ugly, but we still got paid! Piper eventually fired off a bullish signal, so I sold puts. These PCS's were sold at $0.95/ea and were bought back at $0.25/ea (to avoid news risk) -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $1,400!

Trade One Return: +$1,400

Total Return: +$1,400 (before fees)

These trades alone would have paid for MORE THAN TWO YEARS OF GOONIE DISCORD ACCESS! 

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.

Happy Monday!

TODAY'S GAIN: -$850

My posted, REAL-TIME TRADES WERE NOT GOOD, BUT ALSO NOT BAD -- The details are posted below, but it was basically a scratch day for me.

If you're curious about what I trade & how I trade, join the Goonie Trading Discord. You can be a premium member for 1 month free of charge. It's a riskless opportunity for you to become a Goonie today!

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

Piper's Picks

A BEARISH signal, 4/5 strength, was generated around 10:15am ET by Piper. The signal was used with various advanced options strategies to score (don't worry, I'll teach you every aspect of the strategy).Both of these missed :(

SPY Return: -$166 per $166 signal capital requirement

QQQ Return: -$166 per $166 signal capital requirement

Total Return: -$332 per $332 signal capital requirement

Thicc Matt's Personal Trades

Trade One: 10 SPX 5,965/5,975 Call Credit Spreads (Piper Signal)I tried to follow Piper this morning, but the tariff news blew my position out of the water. These CCS's were sold at $1.70/ea and were bought back at $5.30/ea -- This means my realized loss was $3,600.

Trade Two: 50 SPX 5,925/5,920 Put Credit Spreads (Hedge Trade) I tried to follow Piper this morning, but the tariff news blew my position out of the water. These CCS's were sold at $1.70/ea and were bought back at $5.30/ea -- THIS MEANS MY REALIZED GAIN WAS $2,750.

Trade One Return: -$3,600

Trade Two Return: +$2,750

Total Return: -$850 (before fees)

You can join the Goonie Discord for FREE w/ code GOONIE (Click Here!)

Notes

RISK WARNING: Trading involves HIGH RISK and YOU CAN LOSE a lot of money. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Trading is not suitable for all investors. We are not registered investment advisors. We do not provide trading or investment advice. We provide research and education through the issuance of statistical information containing no expression of opinion as to the investment merits of a particular security. Information contained herein should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security or engage in a particular investment strategy. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.